Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44113 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: March 01, 2016, 01:46:32 AM »

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until all the polls have closed in a given state.

I don’t know if they’ll be doing an entrance poll for the caucus states.

Overview of all results: http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president

PRIMARIES

Polls close at 7pm ET

Georgia
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ga/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/georgia

Vermont
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/vt/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/vermont

Virginia
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/va/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/virginia

Polls close at 8pm ET

Alabama
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/al/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/alabama

Massachusetts
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ma/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/massachusetts

Oklahoma
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ok/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/oklahoma

Tennessee
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/tn/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/tennessee

Polls close at 8:30pm ET

Arkansas
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ar/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/arkansas

Polls close at 8pm ET for most of the state, but 9pm ET in some of it

Texas
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/tx/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/texas

CAUCUSES

Caucuses run from 2pm to 7pm ET

American Samoa
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/as/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/american-samoa

Caucuses begin at 8pm ET

Minnesota
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mn/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/minnesota

Caucuses begin at 9pm ET
Colorado
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/co/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/colorado




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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 02:27:55 AM »

Cross-posting from the other thread:

Here is the current weather map:



Things look good in most of the US, with the exception of the giant yellow dagger stabbing through the heart of Oklahoma.  Maybe that represents Native American ancestors stabbing the modern American government (as expressed via voting on Super Tuesday) across the spacetime continuum?

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 05:34:23 PM »

Virginia exits:


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 05:39:01 PM »

CNN TV just said that the %age of Dem. primary voters who are black in these states are:

ga 46% black
al 47% black
ma 4% black
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 05:45:16 PM »

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/704797310052597760

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 05:48:58 PM »

More exits:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37308989

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2016, 05:51:00 PM »

More exits:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37308989

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2016, 05:56:28 PM »


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2016, 05:59:27 PM »

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/super-tuesday-2016-live-updates/

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2016, 06:03:18 PM »

https://twitter.com/wbznewsradio/status/704802889047396353

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2016, 06:48:13 PM »

Young voters in Virginia:



But what counts as "young"?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2016, 06:50:52 PM »


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2016, 07:08:01 PM »

Exit poll topline (if my math is right):

GA:
Clinton 65%
Sanders 34%

VA:
Clinton 62%
Sanders 37%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2016, 07:09:05 PM »

Vermont exit poll topline:

Sanders 87%
Clinton 13%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2016, 08:08:58 PM »

Exit poll toplines if my math is right:

OK:
Sanders 51%
Clinton 47%

MA:
Sanders 52%
Clinton 46%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2016, 08:35:34 PM »

Exit poll topline (if my math is right):

AR
Clinton 65%
Sanders 33%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2016, 08:56:47 PM »

County map from Nate Cohn:


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2016, 09:03:46 PM »

Texas exit poll toplines are:

Clinton 61%
Sanders 38%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2016, 11:27:13 PM »


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2016, 11:31:18 PM »

For Wolf Blitzer, every state projection is a "major projection".  I like how he also says "we're looking at this state closely."  Like there's never a contest that they're not looking at "closely".
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #20 on: March 02, 2016, 12:33:38 AM »


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