2012 Prediction Map

[Mr. Morden]

This is Obama vs. Romney

EVs will of course be different in 2012.

[Mr. Morden]

If the election were held tomorrow, contested by Obama and Romney, I think the map would look like this, with Colorado and Iowa deciding it:

But, the election won't be tomorrow.  It will be more than two and a half years from now.

GOP states will gain about 6 EVs following the 2010 census, which means that this map would be a GOP victory even if Obama wins both Iowa and Colorado.

[Mr. Morden]

Most Americans aren't liberals, conservatives, or centrists, either.

I'm just saying that people like Libertas think that Johnson could win. He isn't well known enough.

That could change.

Obviously if he were the Republican presidential nominee (which is the scenario contemplated in Hawkeye's map) that would change.

[Side note: He's not going to be the nominee though.]