Mason-Dixon: Allen(R) leads by four points over Webb(D) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 11, 2024, 11:58:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2006 Elections
  2006 Senatorial Election Polls
  Mason-Dixon: Allen(R) leads by four points over Webb(D) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Mason-Dixon: Allen(R) leads by four points over Webb(D)  (Read 5663 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« on: September 10, 2006, 01:45:41 PM »

I think Evan Bayh can win the nomination, he will be a formable opponent.

Bayh really has no chance at winning the nomination barring some major geopolitical event.  He's been trying to move left over the past year+, but that will do little for him as progressives won't pass up Feingold or Gore for Evan Bayh, regardless to his vote on John Roberts.  Warner on the other hand has some semblance of a chance; he comes off as bright and doesn't have a long "hawkish" voting record, rather just a crisp term of executive experience.  But still I think the primary will come down to the establishment (Hillary Clinton) v. the antiwar left (Al Gore if he runs or Russ Feingold).

As for Webb, it's cool that he's making a run, but I really don't think he has much of a chance.  Virginia however is looking to be more winnable than Tennessee, for what it's worth.  Even if he secured more money I don't see Webb's chances being any better than one in five.  As for Allen in 2008, he's absolutely finished before he started and may not even run.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2006, 02:06:06 PM »

Bayh probably will be his running mate.

No chance.  Warner's VP choice would have to be an attempt to shore up the liberal base.  (Did I spell "shore" right in that context?  It's one of those things you hear but don't see in text)
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2006, 02:14:13 PM »

Wisconsin would hardly be a lock for Warner.  Kerry only won it by what, 12000 votes?  (going from memory but I remember it was super-close).  And Bayh wouldn't carry Indiana with him, so your point is moot on that count.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2006, 02:39:56 PM »

Boss Tweed, he wouldn't care about IN. IN  manufacturing jobs like OH, and Bayh would help him carry OH. Why would Warner pick Feingold, Feingold is against the war, Warner is for the war.  Evan Bayh voted for the war and believes in the war like Warner.

VPs don't really help outside of their home states.  Look at John Edwards.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2006, 02:58:17 PM »

Uh, what?  I'm aware the climate in 2008 would help Warner in OH, but Bayh being on the ticket won't help him there.  I'm not sure what point you were making with your last post though.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2006, 07:07:32 PM »

Warner would (probably) win VA and that's it for the south.  I don't think he really has regional appeal in the south widespread, not that anybody does from our side.  And I doubt the Born-in-Indiana-Moved-To-Ohio-So-Therefore-I-Like-Evan-Bayh demographic is big enough to make an impact.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.