SurveyUSA in Arkansas!

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New poll has Bush lead within the margin of error in Arkansas, 47-45%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/AR040416president.pdf

(An arkansas state university poll has Bush+8)

This just makes we whine for Edwards even more.

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This race is surely going to be close.

Nah

Kerry *could* win AR if he spent tens of millions there...but that would kill him in OH, WV, PA, etc.

[© tweed]

New poll has Bush lead within the margin of error in Arkansas, 47-45%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/AR040416president.pdf

(An arkansas state university poll has Bush+8)

This just makes we whine for Edwards even more.

I am telling you, I totally agree on the Edward thing. I really hope he choose him as a running mate.

You are missing the point here...

If you parked Edwards in Arkansas, he could win arkansas.  but that's only 6 EV's.  Parking edwards in WV, OH, and PA is 46 EV's.  Not that we would win all three, but it's a better strategy.

[© tweed]

New poll has Bush lead within the margin of error in Arkansas, 47-45%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/AR040416president.pdf

(An arkansas state university poll has Bush+8)

This just makes we whine for Edwards even more.

I am telling you, I totally agree on the Edward thing. I really hope he choose him as a running mate.

You are missing the point here...

If you parked Edwards in Arkansas, he could win arkansas.  but that's only 6 EV's.  Parking edwards in WV, OH, and PA is 46 EV's.  Not that we would win all three, but it's a better strategy.

No No. Even before this poll, I felt Edwards should be VP. I am not saying pick Edwards for Arkansas but 6 EV is sure a lot when the last election was won by 2 EV.

PA is 21 EV's, we need to keep it in our column.

[© tweed]

New poll has Bush lead within the margin of error in Arkansas, 47-45%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/AR040416president.pdf

(An arkansas state university poll has Bush+8)

This just makes we whine for Edwards even more.

I am telling you, I totally agree on the Edward thing. I really hope he choose him as a running mate.

You are missing the point here...

If you parked Edwards in Arkansas, he could win arkansas.  but that's only 6 EV's.  Parking edwards in WV, OH, and PA is 46 EV's.  Not that we would win all three, but it's a better strategy.

No No. Even before this poll, I felt Edwards should be VP. I am not saying pick Edwards for Arkansas but 6 EV is sure a lot when the last election was won by 2 EV.

PA is 21 EV's, we need to keep it in our column.

Of course. I think in the end, it will.

not if you spend 20M in Arkansas

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People who described themselves as 'moderates' favored KErry 60-31%

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Bush will win the States he needs to win the Election
My Predction
Bush: 300
Kerry: 247

Too many EV's John

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People in AR LOVE John Edwards (for whatever reason)

...but they don't, and never will, love John Kerry.

If edwards was the nominee he would win Arkansas by 8-10%, but sadly, he's not.  Bush will pull through in AR.