GA (Gravis) - Ossoff +3, Warnock +2 (user search)
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  GA (Gravis) - Ossoff +3, Warnock +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA (Gravis) - Ossoff +3, Warnock +2  (Read 2249 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,081


« on: January 02, 2021, 04:47:39 PM »

Since when did atlas users start interpreting +3 polls as “tossup/close”?

Polls in 2012 that showed Obama +3 in Ohio made atlas correctly call the state lean/likely Obama

+3 Ohio/Iowa polls for Trump in 16 made atlas call them lean gop

So why are +3 GA senate polls being called tossup
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,081


« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2021, 04:58:45 PM »

Isn’t is generally true that cross tabs shouldn’t be looked at? Only top line?

Sub samples are too small and cause weird results
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