New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (user search)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 52969 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« on: February 09, 2020, 08:39:43 PM »
will there be exit polls for NH?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2020, 12:12:43 AM »
Bloomberg somehow wins both dem and rep vote in DN


This is ed
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2020, 12:20:02 AM »
Trump only got 75% of gop vote in hart

Got 94% in millsfield
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2020, 12:00:29 PM »
Turnout approaching 35% already in Burlington


Very good for sanders. That’s home turf
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2020, 01:11:42 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 11, 2020, 01:09:13 PM
Is there any early turnout reports that seem notable or nah?

Yes usually by now we get some turnout figures
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2020, 03:56:44 PM »
1 hour till exit polls
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2020, 05:17:23 PM »
Mixed numbers so far

Abc exit poll has 52% saying sanders too liberal
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2020, 05:32:12 PM »
Quote from: Tintrlvr on February 11, 2020, 05:29:15 PM
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 11, 2020, 05:26:35 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 05:23:52 PM
Only 11% 18-29 in the first wave of polling.


This will go up.

For reference it was 19% in 2016.

Yeah, some of that is the nature of early exits since young people tend to vote later.

True, but will there be enough young surge in evening to get it to 19%?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2020, 06:26:34 PM »
I don’t buy the klobuchar in 2nd rumors


Would be a massive polling failure
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #9 on: February 11, 2020, 07:06:38 PM »
When do we get top line exit polls
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #10 on: February 11, 2020, 07:23:20 PM »

Way early but this is bad
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #11 on: February 11, 2020, 07:34:27 PM »

Tender stop trolling
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #12 on: February 11, 2020, 07:43:08 PM »
For those surprised trump only at 85, remember it is extremely common for incumbents in NH to fall below 90.

Obama got 82.8 in 2012
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #13 on: February 11, 2020, 07:48:22 PM »
Bernie leader and Margin will shrink soon

Areas friendly to him are overrepresented in the vote that is in so far
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #14 on: February 11, 2020, 08:20:14 PM »
How can old black people in South Carolina watch this result and not start to question biden?

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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #15 on: February 11, 2020, 08:25:34 PM »

Which is the highest gop incumbent vote share since before Reagan


Obama got 80.8 in 2012 in Nh
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #16 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:23 PM »
Wasserman calls for sanders
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #17 on: February 11, 2020, 10:11:26 PM »
trump is on track for highest vote share for an incumbent in NH primary since reagan 84
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044
« Reply #18 on: February 12, 2020, 04:34:44 PM »
That is a misleading way of looking at it when you consider NH has gained 90,000 voters since then
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