California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)

[henster]

Another interview with Laphonza Butler where she's hinting at a run

https://archive.ph/UizlG

Emma Hinchliffe: So, is this a temporary job for you?
Laphonza Butler: It is our early job for me. It is day six. I literally went through orientation, which is usually three days in like four hours. And so, I will say it’s an early job for me. But my life has been one that has been dedicated to service and that is my commitment.

Commitment to a life dedicated to service doesn't sound like she's just going to stand down from the Senate.

Or laying the groundwork for Governor? She has a much better chance in 2026 after a good tenure as caretaker where she boosts her name ID. The Gov field for 2026 is pretty wide open right now with no obvious frontrunner.

[henster]

I can understand most pols west of the Mississippi taking up their primary residence in DC area especially those with families. This line of attack has been played up a lot but it's usually a hit and miss.

[henster]

At this point Porter's best move is to lay the groundwork for a run for Governor with her Senate campaign. I don't see a path for her even in a top two with Schiff but she could start out as a favorite in the 2026 Gov primary.

[henster]

At this point Porter's best move is to lay the groundwork for a run for Governor with her Senate campaign. I don't see a path for her even in a top two with Schiff but she could start out as a favorite in the 2026 Gov primary.

Not sure that would get better for her. Big names are already in, like Kounalakis and Yee. Bonta is probably going to join them as well. Maybe she should try another statewide office first or just work towards becoming a member of House leadership.

Wasn’t there rumors Schiff was going to be AG instead of Bonta? Porter could definitely run for that if Bonta runs for governor.

This will definitely not be the last we see from Porter assuming she loses. I don't know why people were getting all bent up over her giving up her House seat when its clear she had no interest in staying there long term. Lee is probably the only one out of the three who is done politically after this race.

[henster]

I thought Porter had a decent chance of pivoting to Governor in 2026 but she is burning what few bridges she had left. She still has her fans and big grassroots fundraising but you can't succeed in any major office without any allies.