Rank the 20 most powerful countries in the world in 2021? (user search)
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  Rank the 20 most powerful countries in the world in 2021? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rank the 20 most powerful countries in the world in 2021?  (Read 1635 times)
Fight for Trump
Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,057
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« on: September 22, 2021, 10:05:12 PM »
« edited: September 22, 2021, 10:08:14 PM by Santander »

Ranking based on 3 major power dimensions, scored out of 100:

Hard Power (50):
Military Power (20): Indexed to US military spending, with adjustments. +2 for NATO/Israel, +1 for other US defense pacts, +1 for natural power projection, +1 for France (Charles de Gaulle)
Nuclear Weapons (10): 10 if you have them, 0 if you don't. Sharing doesn't count.
Security Council Membership (10): 5 for permanent members, another 5 for US/Russia/China
Arms Exports (10): Indexed to US arms exports.

Diplomatic Soft Power (20):
G7 Membership (5): 2.5 for Russia
G20 Membership (5)
X-Factor (5): Adjustment line for things like regional power, cultural exports, "prestige", cultural ties
Language (5): 5 for English, 4 for Arabic, 3 for French/Spanish/Russian, 2 for Chinese, adjustments made for multiple official languages and unofficial English proficiency

Economic Soft Power (30):
Space Program (5): Scored based on level of funding/activity
Systemically Important Banks (5): Scored based on Global Systemically Important Banks
Financial Services (5): Scored based on overall financial services ecosystem
Capital Markets (5): Scored based on depth, breadth, quality of capital markets
Currency (5): Grouped into bands based on trading volume and reserve status
GDP per capita (5): Grouped into bands

Results:

Hegemon:
1. USA (99.5)

Great Powers:
2. UK (58.6)
3. France (55.7)
4. China (55.3 )
5. Russia (54.2)

Upper-Middle Powers:
6. Germany (37.6)
7. Canada (32.1)
8. Japan (31.8 )
9. Italy (26.7)

Middle Powers:
10. Spain (24.5)
11. Australia (22.8 )
12. India (20.9)
13. Israel (20.8 )
14. Switzerland (19.0)
15. Saudi Arabia (19.0)
16. Netherlands (18.3)
17. Singapore (17.0)
18. South Korea (13.2)
19. South Africa (13.0)
20. Pakistan (12.0)

Others considered for rankings:
21. Brazil (11.5)
22. Mexico (11.0)
23. UAE (11.0)
24. Turkey (11.0)
25. Sweden (10.0)
26. Argentina (9.0)
27. Poland (5.0)
28. Indonesia (5.0)
29. Chile (5.0)
30. Iran (1.0)

Obviously, results are skewed towards "legacy brands", but the methodology is designed to account for various elements which account for "shadow" soft power, which non-Western powers are far behind on. According to my methodology, Russia is clinging on to Great Power status purely on X-factor and arms exports, which I would argue is very accurate. All China needs to do is to advance in military technology, and continue getting richer and it will be a very clear #2 under this methodology.
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Fight for Trump
Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,057
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2021, 10:10:20 PM »

UK, France more powerful than China? lmaooo throw it away
China doesn't even have a functioning stock market, and the government is trying its best to ruin Hong Kong's, too. (It did score very highly on economic metrics anyway, though)

Lots of those scores and criteria are designed to favor western countries.
Most important non-nuclear weapon source of power in 2021 is arguably being liked by the US, who will defend you so your corporations can go colonize the world.
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