Washington, D.C. Megathread

[warandwar]

The latest polling shows Bowser pulling ahead of Gray, 30 to 27, with Wells a distant third at 14. The prosecutor's dangling of an indictment against Gray seems to be doing him in, with large shifts in Gray's trustworthiness rating. Bowser has all the momentum; I now expect her to win.

Independent Catania would tie Gray in a general election 41 to 41, while Bowser would crush Catania 56 to 23. Mayor Bowser it is, then.

I'm personally sticking with Wells. My #1 issue is the continuance of the streetcar system up Georgia Avenue, which Gray and Wells both support, while Bowser doesn't really have opinions on anything. Despite my disdain for Gray's ethical problems, I think I actually prefer him, policy-wise, over Bowser.

Bowser = Fenty II. I completely agree with you about Gray. He actually cares about the SE, which I doubt Bowser does. I thought Wells would get a boost considering he was the only candidate (besides Shallal, I guess) not to have an Uncle Earl. Oh well. Maybe Kojo Nnamdi '18.

[warandwar]

Yeah you're right in terms of personality. I guess I was going for her being fenty's (preferred I think) successor on the council and that he's endorsed her (along with the WaPo)

[warandwar]

Gray won Wards 5, 7 and 8, and Bowser won the rest (Wells was close in Ward 6, which he represented in the Council). Charles Allen, Wells' former COS will replace him in the council. Also, 16-year incumbent Jim Graham got unseated by Brianne Nadeau. Good riddance to him. Is Weaver still running in the general election?

[warandwar]

Nutmeg, do you have any prediction on the at-large and AG races?

[warandwar]

I'd agree with you about Robert White and Elissa Silverman. White probably has the edge, and I'm assuming he'll get most of the establishment support. For AG, my best guess would be Karl Racine. If I lived in the district, I'd vote for Zukerburg, but I'd be surprised if he won.

[warandwar]

I'd agree with you about Robert White and Elissa Silverman. White probably has the edge, and I'm assuming he'll get most of the establishment support. For AG, my best guess would be Karl Racine. If I lived in the district, I'd vote for Zukerburg, but I'd be surprised if he won.

Oh yeah, I should know her name. I talked to her one-on-one at length at a candidate forum during the at-large special election last year. Was conflicted as to whether I should vote for her or Matt Frumin. I only went for Frumin when Silverman publicly requested that he drop out. (She was right, game theory-wise, but the way she went about it rubbed me, and lots of other people, the wrong way. The correct way to do it was what we witnessed in this year's Ward 1 primary, when Bryan Weaver agreed to run as an independent in the general and let Brianne Nadeau take on Jim Graham in a fair fight in the primary.)

Interesting. Why do you say Racine? I don't doubt that any candidate has the ability to win, but they're pretty much all unknown quantities to the electorate (at this point).

I don't have any deeper analysis than he just seems to have ties to some prominent people and is fairly experienced. I don't think any candidates have turned in signatures yet, so I guess it's kind of premature to actually assume anything about the race. He does have the problem of being Harry Thomas Jr.'s lawyer, although that could easily be a non-issue.

[warandwar]

Any new predictions?

With Schwartz in the race, I think maybe….

Bowser 50%

Catania 36%

Schwartz 12%

That was a really good guess. Final margin was 54/35/7. I'm surprised my hunch about Karl Racine from earlier turned out to be spot on. It's too bad, since Smith or Zuckerburg would have been better. Elissa Silverman ended up winning the At-Large seat, she'll make a good addition to the council, I think. The margin for I-71 surprised me, although I'm not sure how Congress will respond.
Perhaps Maryland will join DC in legalization after Mizeur's landslide victory in 2018....