Predictions for the Midterms (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 04:07:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Atlas Fantasy Elections
  Atlas Fantasy Elections (Moderators: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee, Lumine)
  Predictions for the Midterms (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Predictions for the Midterms  (Read 1988 times)
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

« on: December 09, 2004, 09:05:41 PM »

D1 Regular- Supersoulty wins with 63% of the vote in a landslide against The Bulldog
D1 Special- Adnrew wins with about 55% of the vote due to a higher number of Democrats in the old D1 and thus a better showing for True Democrat.
D2- I'm predicting an upset. Badnarikin04 has grown in the polls ever since the beginning of the race. I expect that growth to continue and lead him to a slim victory. Very close.
D3- Texasgurl barely defeats Al. Might be a tie, might also be an Al win. All in all very close.
D4- Hermit wins with 42% of the vote. WMS gets around 20% with 7% for Dibble and 31% for Harry. With four candidates in play we will have to wait for preferences.
D5- SteveNick gets another term it will be close though. In the end it will come down to a battle of voter turnout. The UAC bastion in the West is split up but StevenNick has won before due to GOP pocket votes.
Logged
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2004, 09:11:01 PM »

D1 Regular- Supersoulty wins with 63% of the vote in a landslide against The Bulldog
D1 Special- Adnrew wins with about 55% of the vote due to a higher number of Democrats in the old D1 and thus a better showing for True Democrat.
D2- I'm predicting an upset. Badnarikin04 has grown in the polls ever since the beginning of the race. I expect that growth to continue and lead him to a slim victory. Very close.
D3- Texasgurl barely defeats Al. Might be a tie, might also be an Al win. All in all very close.
D4- Hermit wins with 42% of the vote. WMS gets around 20% with 7% for Dibble and 31% for Harry. With four candidates in play we will have to wait for preferences.
D5- SteveNick gets another term it will be close though. In the end it will come down to a battle of voter turnout. The UAC bastion in the West is split up but StevenNick has won before due to GOP pocket votes.

Colin, can I count those as the offical predictions of your newspaper? We both have covered the races extensively, it'll be interesting to see who picks better.
No they are not my official predictions and I will not print any official predictions in my paper. We report the news only we don't delve into the prediction end of elections.
Logged
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2004, 09:19:03 PM »

D1 Regular- Supersoulty wins with 63% of the vote in a landslide against The Bulldog
D1 Special- Adnrew wins with about 55% of the vote due to a higher number of Democrats in the old D1 and thus a better showing for True Democrat.
D2- I'm predicting an upset. Badnarikin04 has grown in the polls ever since the beginning of the race. I expect that growth to continue and lead him to a slim victory. Very close.
D3- Texasgurl barely defeats Al. Might be a tie, might also be an Al win. All in all very close.
D4- Hermit wins with 42% of the vote. WMS gets around 20% with 7% for Dibble and 31% for Harry. With four candidates in play we will have to wait for preferences.
D5- SteveNick gets another term it will be close though. In the end it will come down to a battle of voter turnout. The UAC bastion in the West is split up but StevenNick has won before due to GOP pocket votes.

Colin, can I count those as the offical predictions of your newspaper? We both have covered the races extensively, it'll be interesting to see who picks better.
No they are not my official predictions and I will not print any official predictions in my paper. We report the news only we don't delve into the prediction end of elections.
All right. You guys won't make predictions and I won't make endorsements. Can't say there's not variety Smiley

Fine do what you want. We endorse you predict.
Logged
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

« Reply #3 on: December 14, 2004, 11:03:03 AM »
« Edited: December 14, 2004, 11:12:16 AM by ColinW »

And National Atlasian/King was Atlasia's Zogby. Of course the Democrats did better in the election than in the polls because they have more members that aren't that active and thus probably didn't take the polls.
Logged
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

« Reply #4 on: December 15, 2004, 10:51:00 AM »

Writing off District 3 as an outlier, the results instead look like this:

Akno: Off by 73 (14.6 per race)
Gabu: Off by 45 (11.25 per race)
King: Off by 88 (17.6 per race)

Hey, sweet, I was Atlasia's Mason-Dixon. Wink

My polling stunk, but my predictions were 7 for 7.
Well my/King's poll was the worse. Still don't know why.
Logged
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

« Reply #5 on: December 15, 2004, 11:19:47 AM »

Writing off District 3 as an outlier, the results instead look like this:

Akno: Off by 73 (14.6 per race)
Gabu: Off by 45 (11.25 per race)
King: Off by 88 (17.6 per race)

Hey, sweet, I was Atlasia's Mason-Dixon. Wink
Gabu even you were off by 11.25 points a race. Thats not very good even with a small voting populace.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.034 seconds with 12 queries.