NC Insider Advantage: Obama only up 3

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Probably not this close, but NC is not like Georgia or Alabama in terms of the electorate. You all can whine all  you want about the black vote being wrong, Obama will not only Hillary to only 58% of the white vote. That's about as bad as suggesting that Hillary will get 17% of the black vote. She'll get more like 62-65%. Don't toss this, though. IA's only major debunkle was Alabama. NC isn't nearly as black as AL.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Can't dispute numbers, let's resort to ad hominems.

Umm... aren't you the one who is disputing the numbers in this poll?

I wasn't.

I'm referring to the numbers I posted. IA consistently underpolls Obama in the south. It's a fact.

Now you know what it's like to deal with you and some of the other Obama supporters. It's frustrating when people don't listen to facts and logic.

I still think that Obama will win NC by 10% or more, but I hardly expect t to be a 20-30% route like it was back when he still was viewed as a Messiah by a lot of people. NC does not have as large a black electorate, and the whites will not vote for Obama like they did in VA. He'll be lucky to get 35-38%. Obama is far more damaged now than he was Super Tuesday through Wisconsin.