SC-GOV 2022 Megathread: Cunningham IN

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I would not be surprised if it isn't competitive in the end. I remember Jaime Harrison polling ahead of Graham in 2020 only to see him lose by over 10%.

The issue is SC is a pretty inelastic state with a 55-44 Republican lean and it doesn't seem like that can be broken. Joe may do better because of the abortion issue, but I don't think it will be enough to get him over the finish line.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Is this race starting to become actually competitive given the shifting national environment and Cunningham’s strength?

No. This state is getting whiter and it's not D-friendly whites either. No Democrat will win this state for the next century.

We're seeing the same thing play out in SC as is around many states. A lot of the rural county democrats are moving to the GOP and the urban areas like Charleston, Columbia, etc are trending to the Democrats. Even Greenville County trended somewhat left in 2020 even though Trump still won big there.