SC-GOV 2022 Megathread: Cunningham IN

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1347675655895470081?s=20

You think he'll run? Dems have like under 2% chance of winning statewide, but Cunningham would be one of the strongest candidates, I think.

[President Johnson]

DOA

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

What else is Cunningham supposed to do ? go back to ambulance chasing like another infamous Carolina democrat ?

[VAR]

Safe R

[Sir Mohamed]

Yup, if he runs, not going anywhere in the GE. Safe R

[If my soul was made of stone]

A noble goal, but good luck breaking through the GOP's 54% #freiwall

[JMT]

It looks like he’s gearing up for a run, so I think he goes for it. Unfortunately, he doesn’t have much of a chance of winning. He probably would win the primary, and lose the general.

[Tiger08]

He may make it close against McMaster, who isn't very popular. He can get to mid-single digits and boost suburban margins, but the state is too inelastic to go blue. I'm almost certain that he will run, though.

[Tekken_Guy]

He’d be a great candidate, but he has a better chance of beating Mace than McMaster. Let alone Tim Scott.

[Suburbia]

It looks like he’s gearing up for a run, so I think he goes for it. Unfortunately, he doesn’t have much of a chance of winning. He probably would win the primary, and lose the general.

This, he would lose to McMaster 55%-45%

[BuckeyeNut]

Vince Shaheen won 47% of the vote in 2010, and James Smith won 46% in 2018. Cunningham can break 45%; even if it is doubtful, he could actually win.

[EastwoodS]

He must like BDSM as much as he likes losing.

[MargieCat]

He should run against Mace again for his old seat, if she makes it through the primary.

She has been awfully critical of Trump.

MAGA is not happy with her.

[Bootes Void]

Mace will be safe in her seat unless of there is a giant scandal on her. Also 2022 is a Biden midterm year so I doubt there will be any pickups outside of redistricting gimmes

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1347675655895470081?s=20

You think he'll run? Dems have like under 2% chance of winning statewide, but Cunningham would be one of the strongest candidates, I think.

Maybe, but I don't think painting McMaster with the Trump tar brush will seal the deal. And if for some reason McMaster does somehow end up being sufficiently damaged goods as to lose the general election, there's always Haley. She's no longer term limited, so the only thing keeping Haley from seeking her old job back in 2022 is I don't see her running a primary challenge against McMaster unless it's clear to everyone that McMaster is likely to lose the general if he runs.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I think Cunningham should wait for Scott’s open senate seat or McMasters. An open seat or his old congressional seat is his only chance. Maybe he could go after a Republican in the Charleston area in the State Senate? But those districts and incumbents are very entrenched

[JMT]

Definitely looks like Cunningham is gearing up for a run for Governor:

https://twitter.com/joecunninghamsc/status/1349521578195824641?s=21

[Former President tack50]

If in 2020, a Lean D year, with an even weaker R candidate, Dems were unable to even get SC-Senate within single digits (let alone win!); there is no way Cunningham wins in a presumable R wave.

Safe R, but maybe he will lose by 12-13 points instead of the 20 points a no name Dem candidate would lose by

[Alcibiades]

He would be better off running for his old seat, which I doubt gets made any more Republican in redistricting. Ordinarily, you would expect someone like Mace to breeze to victory in a Biden midterm, but she’s managed to piss off both MAGA and anti-Trump people with her actions in the past week.

[Flyersfan232]

I mean if north Caroline didn’t work out hard to see him winning in the south

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

I mean if north Caroline didn’t work out hard to see him winning in the south

Wrong Cunningham

[Real Texan Politics]

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1347675655895470081?s=20

You think he'll run? Dems have like under 2% chance of winning statewide, but Cunningham would be one of the strongest candidates, I think.

Maybe, but I don't think painting McMaster with the Trump tar brush will seal the deal. And if for some reason McMaster does somehow end up being sufficiently damaged goods as to lose the general election, there's always Haley. She's no longer term limited, so the only thing keeping Haley from seeking her old job back in 2022 is I don't see her running a primary challenge against McMaster unless it's clear to everyone that McMaster is likely to lose the general if he runs.

I don't see Haley running, especially if she's planning on running for president in 2024 (which seems more likely than not). I don't see her running for an office that she could potentially only be in for 2 years. She'll probably just endorse McMaster and campaign with him and call it a day.

[Coldstream]

I’d rather he runs for his congressional seat. But Cunningham is at least a good insurance candidate who could (maybe) win if McMaster kills someone during the campaign.

[Galeel]

He's not gonna win but he might as well run. It's not like he has anything better to run for.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't totally write off Cunningham here, James Harrison is our chairman and can make Gov race competetive