Impact of impeachment on the 2019 gubernatorial races

[IceSpear]

Polls so far show impeachment as split roughly 50/50, similar to the Kavanaugh circus from last year, which most Dems are taking as vindication that the issue will not hurt them politically. But just like they didn't take into account the fact that they needed to win Senate races in ruby red states where their position was extremely unpopular, the same thing seems to be happening this year with these gubernatorial races in blood red states where Trump is popular and impeachment is deeply unpopular.

Beshear never had a chance to begin with, but I think it could end up increasing Bevin's victory margin. The Racist KY Hicks are absolutely incensed by this. Trump and his acolyte Bevin will whip them into a frenzy and deliver Beshear a thrashing he won't soon forget.

Hood and JBE could definitely lose crossover support as well, which is necessary to win in states like MS or LA, though I'm not sure if it'll be enough to sink the latter.

Thoughts?

[IceSpear]

The important question is how this fares among the swing voters in Elliott County

imo they support impeachment imo. They did vote for John Kerry after all!

[IceSpear]

There is no impact simply because governors have no say in the impeachment or removal of presidents.

I expect most of them to stay silent on the issue.

They'll probably try to stay silent on the issue, but will the media and their opponents let them? All politics is national these days. I expect all the GOP candidates to hammer this home until the very end. I'd certainly consider it a huge gift if I was one of them. Bevin was running as a pro-Trump one trick pony even before this, so I imagine that strategy will be taken into overdrive now.

It could also have the unintended consequence of both firing up the GOP base, making them more likely to vote AND less likely to cross over and vote for a Democrat. Same for the Democratic base, but that's going to be far more useful in Virginia than a place like Kentucky, lol.

[IceSpear]

Polls so far show impeachment as split roughly 50/50, similar to the Kavanaugh circus from last year, which most Dems are taking as vindication that the issue will not hurt them politically. But just like they didn't take into account the fact that they needed to win Senate races in ruby red states where their position was extremely unpopular, the same thing seems to be happening this year with these gubernatorial races in blood red states where Trump is popular and impeachment is deeply unpopular.

Beshear never had a chance to begin with, but I think it could end up increasing Bevin's victory margin. The Racist KY Hicks are absolutely incensed by this. Trump and his acolyte Bevin will whip them into a frenzy and deliver Beshear a thrashing he won't soon forget.

Hood and JBE could definitely lose crossover support as well, which is necessary to win in states like MS or LA, though I'm not sure if it'll be enough to sink the latter.

Thoughts?

Because calling Kentuckians hicks will help the dem chances in my a lot.

I’m sure the only reason Kentucky goes Republican is because IceSpear calls Kentucky voters racist hicks on an obscure election forum.

If I had a nickel for every time an Atlas poster accused me of singlehandedly destroying the Democratic Party in red states/rural areas I'd be an unironic neoliberal.