BREAKING LA-GOV 2019: Ralph Abraham IN (user search)
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  BREAKING LA-GOV 2019: Ralph Abraham IN (search mode)
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Author Topic: BREAKING LA-GOV 2019: Ralph Abraham IN  (Read 1958 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« on: December 07, 2018, 12:19:03 AM »
Prediction for the trajectory of this race: JBE will have huge leads in the early polls, leading Atlas to pronounce the race safe D. Then Abraham will close the gap after raising his name recognition and Trump doing rallies for him. Half of Atlas will panic, the other half will pretend nothing is happening and that the race is still safe D. The end result will be within 5 points either way.

Basically WV-Sen 2018 redux.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2018, 07:16:41 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on December 07, 2018, 07:13:03 PM
Edwards is nowhere near as entrenched as Manchin.

True, but Louisiana is nowhere near as Republican as West Virginia.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2018, 08:16:52 PM »
Quote from: Intell on December 07, 2018, 08:12:31 PM
Quote from: The Unbearable Inevitability of Matt Bevin on December 07, 2018, 07:16:41 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on December 07, 2018, 07:13:03 PM
Edwards is nowhere near as entrenched as Manchin.

True, but Louisiana is nowhere near as Republican as West Virginia.

Whites in LA are more polarised and much more republican.

I'm aware. But Dems have a much higher floor due to the black vote.
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