Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22

[IceSpear]

This is terrifying:

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/993996218756820993

Typical mindset of a Racist WV Hick.

If he wins the primary, we have no less than coin flip odds of having a Sen. Blankenship.

[IceSpear]

Manchin way underperforming in the early returns, only leads ~60-40, lol.

[IceSpear]

Lol at anyone that thought Dennis the Menace had a chance. Alan Grayson 2.0.

[IceSpear]

Yeah, Blankenship losing the primary is definitely a better outcome for Dems than him winning it. Sure.

Gotta love the coping mechanisms of some of the hacks here, lol.

Personally I didn't really care whether Blankenship won or not, since I think he was underestimated and Jenkins was overestimated. Manchin is in deep trouble regardless of his opponent.

[IceSpear]

Looking at total votes for the Senate Races:

Indiana:
222,140 R
109,185 D

Ohio:
339,732 R
244,706 D

West Virginia:
87,807 D
68,856 R

inb4 #analysis about how WV is safe D, IN is safe R, and Ohio is lean R.

[IceSpear]

Looking at total votes for the Senate Races:

Indiana:
222,140 R
109,185 D

Ohio:
339,732 R
244,706 D

West Virginia:
87,807 D
68,856 R

inb4 #analysis about how WV is safe D, IN is safe R, and Ohio is lean R.

inb4 the Atlas RINOs tell me of how sane and responsible the Republican Party is because they didn’t nominate the coal miner killer

I think you're too late on that one, lol.

[IceSpear]

Manchin is doing horribly in Mingo County. He won it nearly 3:1 in 2012. As I predicted, the Racist WV Hicks have turned against him because he is a member of the anti-white hate group.

[IceSpear]

I find it hilarious that Swearengin's two best counties are the ones that gave Hillary her highest percentage of the vote (Monongalia) and her lowest percentage of the vote (Mingo). What a coalition! lol

[IceSpear]

McCready might have already been slightly favored in NC-09 even against Pittenger, but now he certainly is.

[IceSpear]

Did trump's late tweet against blankendouche actually do some damage, or were the gop internals likely BS and blankendouche was never leading or close.

Probably both.

[IceSpear]

Nate Silver and Harry Enten are kinda going after various media outlets for hyping those internal polls without questioning their authenticity or the motive for why they were being leaked in first place.

Atlas could learn this lesson too.

[IceSpear]

Do y'all think Casey and Wolf could hit a double digit moe in the GE? I would say looking from where things are now, I would lean yes.

It's definitely possible, but I wouldn't bet on it. I'm guessing Casey gets upper singles and Wolf mid singles.

[IceSpear]

CHRISTIANA IS BEATING BARLETTA

STOP THE COUNT!!!

[IceSpear]

Stack is in 4th place in every county outside Philly so far.

[IceSpear]

Holy sh**t: A lopsided margin in Luzerne for Christina. Bad news for L. Barletta.

That's obviously a mistake.

[IceSpear]

Some guy named Rich Lazer is leading in the PA-5 Dem primary right now. Congrats to Major Lazer, I guess.

Means nothing so far. Lazer is the only candidate from the Philly part of the district, so he was always going to run up the score in Philly. But the vast majority of the district is in Delco, which has yet to report.

[IceSpear]

Morganelli in 3rd at the moment. I hope this holds.

Haha, that would be amazing. Fingers crossed.

[IceSpear]

Luzerne sticks out like a sore thumb in the Republican Senate primary.

Because it's an error.

[IceSpear]

Any chance Ahmad passes Stack for 2nd place?

I think she's the favorite for 2nd place at this rate.

I was going to vote for her over Brady under the old maps. Seems like an eternity ago, lol.

[IceSpear]

Kara Eastman is too far left for Omaha.

Obama won NE-02. Eastman is probably gonna be fine lol.

In 2008 when he also won Indiana. That’s an outlier

Okay, here's a better one. It swung D in 2016 and Hillary only lost it by 2 points.

[IceSpear]

If Eastman can win against Ashford, a former U.S. congressman, she can win against Bacon. She has gotten practically no backing from national pro-choice groups, its been an entirely grassroots campaign.

Not true.
Ashford makes the race Likely D.
Eastman makes the race Likely R.

Hot take.

[IceSpear]

Ahmad is in second now. Flawless Beautiful Barletta's performance is quite pathetic. This is the best he can do against a random state rep? Lol

[IceSpear]

I have no clue why they haven't called it for Fetterman yet.

[IceSpear]

Hey guys: This is why you listen to people who actually know what they're talking about.

Some guy named Rich Lazer is leading in the PA-5 Dem primary right now. Congrats to Major Lazer, I guess.

Means nothing so far. Lazer is the only candidate from the Philly part of the district, so he was always going to run up the score in Philly. But the vast majority of the district is in Delco, which has yet to report.

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

U.S. House District 5

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Rich Lazer
2,052   60.3%   
Molly Sheehan
337   9.9   
Mary Scanlon
271   8.0   
Lindy Li
260   7.6   
Ashley Lunkenheimer
177   5.2   
Greg Vitali
127   3.7   
Theresa Wright
109   3.2   
Larry Arata
45   1.3   
Thaddeus Kirkland
15   0.4   
Margo Davidson
9   0.3   
3,402 votes, 5% reporting (28 of 587 precincts)

Lazer is now leading 27-24 with more than half the vote outstanding.

[IceSpear]

Were the governor and Senate Republican primary races in Pennsylvania supposed to be this close?

Governor was somewhat of a wildcard, but Barletta was supposed to demolish his opponent. After all, he's a flawless beautiful populist supported by Trump (and basically every prominent Republican for that matter) running against a random state rep.

Where's LimoTroll to comment on his performance?