Trump campaign has decided to focus on... Connecticut (user search)
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  Trump campaign has decided to focus on... Connecticut (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump campaign has decided to focus on... Connecticut  (Read 1884 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: August 13, 2016, 02:23:20 PM »

lol

I have a hard time believing he's genuinely this dumb, especially since I have no doubt all of his advisors are telling him what he should ACTUALLY be doing.

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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2016, 03:43:52 PM »

It's 7 electoral votes and he was only down by 7 points there.
CT+RI (or NH) and NV are enough to get Trump to 270 without PA.

Really dude?

And to think your name was JUST removed from the deluge. Trying to win back the title? Tongue
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2016, 03:59:09 PM »

It's 7 electoral votes and he was only down by 7 points there.
CT+RI (or NH) and NV are enough to get Trump to 270 without PA.

Really dude?

And to think your name was JUST removed from the deluge. Trying to win back the title? Tongue

He's down by double digits in Pennsylvania, which is like six times larger than Connecticut.
If he's only down seven in CT, and it's a smaller state, and he can win without PA if he takes CT then it's not completely senseless for him to target it.  Maybe targeting a state where Hillary's weak and the Democrats weren't expecting a fight makes more sense than targeting Pennsylvania, if he thinks he's going to win Nevada and Iowa (forgot to include Iowa for him in my map, he doesn't actually need RI/NH to get to 270).

I'm not saying it's a good strategy, but if he can't win PA or VA then good strategies start to become pretty scarce, and this is better than nothing.

You're comparing CT polls from back when PA was tied to current PA polls. It should be incredibly obvious why that is problematic. And obviously there's no scenario in which CT will be the decisive state. That's like saying Hillary should focus on Kansas on her route to 270 because a recent poll showed her "only down 5" there.
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