How many more national elections until Democratic fatigue? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 08, 2024, 01:21:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  How many more national elections until Democratic fatigue? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How many more national elections until Democratic fatigue?
#1
2020
 
#2
2024
 
#3
2028
 
#4
2030
 
#5
2034
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 44

Author Topic: How many more national elections until Democratic fatigue?  (Read 2633 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: June 29, 2016, 12:35:00 AM »

I can't see the victor 2016 winning 2020.
Same, I think Hillary, if elected, will lose in 2020 following a midterm wave. With regards to Senate seats, I think Tillis and Gardner are the two most vulnerable Senators up for reelection that cycle. It seems like demographics will catch up, and it's possible (even likely) that the Millennials will remain loyal left wing Democrats for the rest of their lives, barring a 2008-style recession under a Democratic president.
Tillis-Well if Ross(D) gets elected to the US Senate in 2016 I don't think Tillis will lose. If Ross loses to Burr Tillis probably won't win. I don't think NC wants 2 Dem US Senators.

Gardner-I don't think he is that vulnerable although that could change.

I think the demographic thing is too overblown in Elections except for the Presidential Election which it absolutely killed Republicans in 2012. I think the Republicans will lose in 2016 because the Republicans have a bad candidate toppling over the demographics issue as to why they will lose. Non-Hispanic White Women do not like Trump in a swing state like Colorado for example.

I don't think anybody thinks like this...

Does Iowa "want" 2 Republican Senators?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 12:36:12 AM »

Democratic fatigue is already there. A non-insane Republican would easily have beat Hillary. The question is, will GOP primary voters ever nominate a non-insane candidate again?

Ridiculous assumption. Just like Hillary is not a lock now, Kasich or whoever would not have been a lock against her. It would've just moved the odds in the Republicans' favor.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 12 queries.