Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[IceSpear]

If anyone can reach out to the rurals, it would be her. Still think Kemp has this, but Abrams will give it all she got. I see this more of a toss-up than the Ohio/Wisconsin races (which are clearly Likely R, if not Solid R, right now). Rooting big for Abrams to turn the tide and end the GOP hegemony here.

In what universe are Ohio and Wisconsin likely/solid R?  You just aren't speaking sense.

Keep in mind that this is coming from the guy who thought Trump would get a "cave bump" from the rescue of the students in Thailand.

One of the looniest instances of Atlas crankery since pbrower outlined his "air hub theory" of presidential nominations.

Wait the what theory?

This gem: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=104956.msg2227105#msg2227105

LMAO.

That post is so Atlas.

[IceSpear]

LMAO that "SHADY DAVID SHAFER" meme really worked:

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Geoff Duncan   278,750   50.1%   
David Shafer   277,110   49.9   

I HATE David Shafer! This warms my heart.

Has this race been moved from Likely to Lean Republican yet?

Why? I'm just curious.. Don't know much about either..

Slimy and corrupt, had his friends make some accusations of sexual harassing a lobbyist "go away" right before the election, and thought he was owed the seat. It's obnoxious when any politician thinks they deserve a seat due to whatever crap he or she has carried out for businesses and other politicians.

The first Abrams and Kemp attacks are in. I saw the Abrams commercial a couple of times this morning getting ready for work.

That quick? wow.

Abrams ad 7/10. Very good, but not great. The ad uses Kemp's own ads against him,which is genious, and some of those still shots are hilarious. But the ad fails to really grab viewer, and the news cycle at the beginning would have been better suited at the end.

Kemp ad 3/10 Its a typical scary ad, and poor at that. The focus on Hillary is actually bad considering this is one of the few states that trended D when the whole nation trended R. They seem to not use anything else other than she is a Radical D who will raise taxes, and is funded by Nancy Pelosi, like I havent heard that before. Not creative, and rather poor.(of course this ad was made by the RNC.)

The entire GOP strategy lately seems like nothing but telling people who blindly vote for them to start with whatever they want to hear to get them to turn out rather than putting even the tiniest effort into winning swing votes.

The GOP ad is indeed generic boring boilerplate, but the Dem ad is even worse. Re-running Kemp's ads which were what made him popular to begin with? I'm sure he thanks them for their contribution.

[IceSpear]

Voters are stupid: Democrats need to learn to lower the bar in their discourse (and that includes not making voters read things on-screen for 30 seconds at a time).

+1

[IceSpear]

If you're explaining, you're losing. Why even acknowledge their dumb ad?

[IceSpear]

If you're explaining, you're losing. Why even acknowledge their dumb ad?

The "ignore unfounded attack it goes away" strategy did work well for President Kerry

And the "constantly respond, apologize, and try to explain it away" strategy worked great for President Clinton, while the "ignore and refuse to apologize for any controversy, including legitimate ones" strategy worked out horribly for private citizen Donald Trump.

[IceSpear]

It does seem kind of weird for voters to take issue with her debt but not Trump's, who not only proudly declared himself the King Of Debt, but also arguably has more outstanding debt than revenue. It's actually even more ridiculous than that if you consider all the other business/finance-related scummy stuff Trump was involved in, which is too numerous for a short post to detail.

Trump seems to have a superpower of getting away with double standards like this. It's maddening.

It's Republicans in general, not just Trump. As others said, Deal had financial difficulties as well. And didn't he resign from the House because he was under ethics investigation? Imagine how badly the media would tar and feather a Democrat who did this then ran for statewide office afterward.

[IceSpear]

That's just the sneak peek of the generic R response if in fact the tape does come out.

[IceSpear]

Inside Elections rates this race Likely R and says "Kemp has a strong advantage", and I have no reason to question their expertise.

Indeed. VA-10 was clearly a pure toss up until 20 hours ago.