OH-SEN: Who wins?

[President Johnson]

I feel like Brown is finally running out of luck. Even if Biden gets reelected and doesn't get crushed in Ohio (ergo, just small shifts between 2020 and 2024). As of today, I'd say Moreno wins by three or four points. Brown still has a chance though.

[President Johnson]

have we had a good quality poll out of Ohio which showed Moreno leading?

Even in that case... wasn't Ohio polling extremely unreliable in the spring and over the summer in all previous cycles? I think polls frequently showed a competitive race here before things begun the shift over the fall and Democrats ended up falling short by a solid margin. So even with polls showing Brown ahead, I wouldn't feel more confident unless that lead lasts into October.