If President Biden Wins Re-Election in 2024, Who Do the GOP Pick to Run in 2028?

[President Johnson]

Maybe J.D. Vance?

[President Johnson]

If Biden beats Trump in 2024, then it's DeSantis.

If Biden beats DeSantis in 2024, then I have no clue. They would have to do some serious introspection of their 'post-Trump rising star' falls flat on his face.

If Biden beats Trump, DeSantis still needs to find a way to stay relevant beyond his term as governor. He'd for sure face some stiff competition in 2027, when he starts running a 2028 campaign.

[President Johnson]

It's possible we didn't even hear of this person yet? Who heard of Obama in 2002?

This got me curious, what were future nominees up to 6 years beforehand

2020-->2014: Vice President Joe Biden / Businessman Donald Trump
2016-->2010: Secretary of State Hillary Clinton / Businessman Donald Trump
2012-->2006: US Senator Barack Obama / Governor Mitt Romney
2008-->2002: State Senator Barack Obama / Senator John McCain
2004-->1998: Senator John Kerry / Governor George W. Bush
2000-->1994: Vice President Al Gore / Gubernatorial nominee/son of ex-President, George W. Bush
1996-->1990: Governor Bill Clinton / Senator Bob Dole
1992-->1986: Governor Bill Clinton / Vice President George H. W. Bush

So it seems for the most part that future nominees are nationally-known figures 6 years out from the election, with the notable exception of Barack Obama in 2008. Even Trump, who nobody would have predicted as the Republican nominee in 2010 or even 2014, was still a household name.

So it would seem that Obama is the exception to the rule.

Yeah, Obama was the exception here. I think Mohamed may have meant just the general public instead of this forum. It could very well be someone who's relatively known in this forum, but has low name ID across the US at this moment.