PA-Big Data Poll: Oz+2 (user search)
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  PA-Big Data Poll: Oz+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Big Data Poll: Oz+2  (Read 2611 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,398
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: October 30, 2022, 02:26:20 PM »

Lots of ugly Pennsylvania senate polls out these days.

While Shapiro remains an overwhelming favorite, Fetterman's star really seems in decline as of lately. I'm not saying Oz has this in the bag, but this is a tossup race again. I hope Shapiro can drag Fetterman over the finishline here. And I remember some months ago when he polled better than Shapiro. Early polls are really just worthless.
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,398
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2022, 02:51:09 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2022, 12:13:45 PM by GeorgiaModerate »

There are literally people in this thread saying even if this is accurate, it doesn't mean the poll is worth anything, because it's a "GOP poll" that's banned from 538. And it doesn't matter that Nate Silver and his preferred polls have overestimated Democrats significantly in every election since 2012. He's the supreme authority that we should all look up to.


If a roll a die, it comes up 3, and then Oz wins by 3, that doesn't mean that my methodology of dice rolling was a sound way of determining who is winning the Pennsylvania Senate race.

I think it's impossible to convince ElectionsFuy of anything other than there's a zero chance Fetterman will win.
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