Joe Biden 2020 campaign megathread v3 (pg 45 - mass-dropout aftermath)

[President Johnson]

Yep.  Biden is over.  Totally incompetent execution.  These are embarrassing results for a campaign that's supposed to be run by some of the best in the biz, and I would never trust a campaign that executes like this to beat Trump.

It's a shame, Biden is a really great guy and would have been a good president.  He has by far the most complete resume and best track record of success in the race, represents a diverse and winning coalition, and holds positions that Democrats can run on and win.  He's been treated like absolute dogsh*t by everyone this campaign, especially the media, and persevered for a year only to implode because the folks running his campaign couldn't drive turnout in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar are all good choices for the nominee, in that order IMO.  I'm on board Bloomberg 2020 at this point.

This almost nails my thoughts as well.

Starts looking like Joe Biden is done or close to it. I didn't expect him to win Iowa and New Hampshire to begin with, but these results are beyond embarrassing for a former vice president, who served two terms under an incredibly popular president, until just three years ago. Maybe it's just about time to accept defeat. I thought he ran great ads, but it seems his groundgame an utter disaster and his performance on the trail underwhelming. Certainly not as good as 2008 and 2012. It's really sad, because he would be a spectular president who can get things done and restore international relations. Aside from the fact that he's a fine person with the right moral compass to be head of state. It's too sad, Uncle Joe, but I will always be a big fan of yours. Th best vice president in history.
 
As things now stand, I'll be rooting for Mike Bloomberg. He's not just extremely qualified for the job, he's the kind of pragmatic problem solver that is needed to fix things after Trump. He also runs a strong campaign operation and, to be honest, makes a more vital impression than Joe Biden. Mayor Pete is also someone who I like a lot, but I doubt he's getting nomination due to a lack of minority support. He'd be a great cabinet member.

[President Johnson]

Return to this prediction in May to see if I'm correct:

Biden will get 2nd or 3rd in NV, rebound to strongly win SC, win the South while losing elsewhere to Sanders on Super Tuesday, Sanders builds a small delegate lead that never goes away and puts away the nomination after winning New York in April (Biden-Sanders duel from March-May).

And Bloomberg?

A non-factor after Biden rebounds from South Carolina. I'm pretty convinced that voters will be persuaded to stick with the Vice President who just won a state over someone who hasn't been on the ballot yet. But I could be wrong, even laughably so; who knows!

I think Biden would win one-on-one if he alone occupies the moderate lane. As much as I like Mike, Mayor Pete and Klobuchar, I still hope all of them will be out after Uncle Joe hopefully rebounds after South Carolina and Super Tuesday, that he can win the nomination.

[President Johnson]

Biden very likely wins SC, but unless he wins by a surprisingly wide margin, what is his path forward? He'll get a few states on Super Tuesday, but unless he can start winning states outside of the South, he'll just keep falling behind Sanders in delegates after that.

A narrow win is probably the worst outcome for Uncle Joe, especially if he wants Bernie stopped. If Joe loses, he's done and likely drops out, allowing Bloomberg or Mayor Pete to become the moderate standarf bearer. If he wins big time (double digits), he probably regains enough strength to do well on Super Tuesday and may actually force Bloomberg out. But if he hangs on after a close win in South Carolina, Joe and Mike split the moderate vote and allow Bernie small plurality wins in states like Texas and North Carolina. This would give Bernie enough momentum to roll over the remaining contests and either get a majority of delegates or a strong plurality. And in the latter case, the convention could turn into a mess, especially of Bernie is denied the nomination. In the end, only Trump would benefit.

[President Johnson]

So hopefully he can go back in the lead in Texas and keep California closer than current polls show it may end up. Would actually be great to see some endorsements rolling in. If Kamala endorses him ahead of California, it would be a big deal.

[President Johnson]

Joe Biden is now the youngest male candidate in the race. Let that sink in.

Out of anyone with serious winning chance in November, it's Donald Trump.

[President Johnson]

Biden right now:

4-5-2-1 is unstoppable Comeback Kid strategy, you losers!

This would be unprecedented. I hope he loses to Trump.

I don't get why the Bros are so bitter that you much rather have Donald Trump for another term, tearing everything apart instead of being replaced by a rational and stable leader who supports 75% of your agenda. It's nothing other than a cult then.

[President Johnson]

Oh my god, I just watched the clip from Mayor Pete's endorsement and how Joe Biden compared him to Beau. I'm almost crying because of this. Both of them are have so much character.

[President Johnson]

Fmr. FBI Director James Comey endorses Joe Biden:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/03/jame-comey-backing-joe-biden-119614


Boooring. Would be more interested to know whether Comey would for vote for Bernie if he's the Democratic nominee in the end. At the very least, having been fired by Trump deserves going full ABT.

And, ladies and gentlemen... let the God Emperor tweet... 3, 2, 1,....

[President Johnson]

Pete should probably give the convention keynote speech.

I agree! He's a very talented speaker. And he should be given a major cabinet position since the vice presidential will most likely be filled with a woman (Harris, Klobuchar, Demings or Barragan would be great). I like the idea of UN Ambassador, since that would raise his international profile and add foreign policy credentials to his list. Probably a safe bet now that he'll be part of the administration if Joe Biden is president next January. Beto could also be tapped for something like Commerce or Energy.

[President Johnson]

I've said it all along, Nanette Barragan is a perfect match for the second spot. She's in her 40s, latina and progressive. Not too far left, but progressive. And as Hispanic, she can help Uncle Joe with this critical voting block. The primary showed that he needs to create more excitement among latinos and she might be a good match to do just that.

[President Johnson]

This video clip is just amazing. Turn on the sound. The guy here really sounds like Obama:

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1235052111358046208

[President Johnson]

This graph is absolutely insane.