Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction. (user search)
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  Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction.  (Read 5318 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,254
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Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: October 29, 2017, 10:06:36 AM »

Governor:

Northam: 50.21%
Gillespie: 47.06%

Lieutenant Governor:

Vogel: 48.08%
Fairfax: 47.66%


VA-GOV

49.5% Northam (D)
47.3% Gillespie (R)
3.2% Hyra (L)

VA-LG

50.7% Fairfax (D)
48.8% Vogel (R)

VA-AG

52.5% Herring (D, inc.)
47.1% Adams (R)

No idea what will happen, though. I have a hard time believing that Republicans can really win a statewide race here, honestly. VA's strong Democratic lean/trend and it being an off-year election/the federal opposition party turnout phenomenon should save the Ds in the end, though Gillespie has run a pretty good campaign so far, it seems. He obviously knows his state well, but like I said... I just don't think the votes are there for him to win. Lean D.

There's also the possibility that Democrats actually outperform their polling average.

Fairfax won't outperform Northam.
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