President Johnson
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,442
Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70
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« on: May 14, 2017, 03:21:24 AM » |
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The odds are 50/50 and any predictions are wishful thinking by either side.
The election will be determined by factors that are not known yet:
- The Democratic nominee and the unity of Democrats in general
- The economic situation in the fall of 2020
- Trump's popularity (unlikely that he picks up much more support, but who knows?).
- Foreign or domestic crisis (terrorist attack etc.)
- Outcome of Russiagate and potential future scandals
- Campaign performance (gaffes etc.)
- Voter turnout and mobilization
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Poll
