Democrats poised for election gains (user search)
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  Democrats poised for election gains (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What you want/what will happen (in terms of the Dems.
#1
Win H.o.R./Nothing
 
#2
Win Senate/Nothing
 
#3
Win H.o.R./Win H.o.R.
 
#4
Win Senate/Win Senate
 
#5
Win Wenate/Win H.o.R.
 
#6
Win H.o.R./Win Senate
 
#7
Win Both/Nothing
 
#8
Win Both/Win H.o.R.
 
#9
Win Both/ Win Senate
 
#10
Win Both/Win Both
 
#11
Win H.o.R./Win Both
 
#12
Win Senate/Win Both
 
#13
Nothing/Win Senate
 
#14
Nothing/Win H.o.R.
 
#15
Nothing/Win Both
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: Democrats poised for election gains  (Read 1154 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« on: November 07, 2006, 03:20:49 AM »

Why?  The polls have numerous races way too close to call.

The only one that was close that now has the Pubbies winning is Bob Dorker (considering how the media hates Harold Ford's guts). From the newest polls I've seen, Alfred E. Allen and Jim No-Talent are toast.

Newest does not necessarily mean best.  Look who they are coming from.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2006, 01:37:22 PM »

Newest does not necessarily mean best.  Look who they are coming from.

A lot of them are from SurveyUSA. SurveyUSA is so strongly favorable to Republicans that they sent out a press release declaring Ernie Fletcher had won days before the election.

If SurveyUSA says a Pubbie is losing by 5 or 6 points, they're probably losing by 7 or 8.

SurveyUSA seems strongly pro-Democrat this year in a lot of places.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2006, 02:54:53 PM »

SurveyUSA seems strongly pro-Democrat this year in a lot of places.

In 1994 the polls were way off, but now pollsters know how to take election shenanigans into account. Every time I see a party breakdown, the pollsters have always polled more Republicans than Democrats, even in areas that have more Democrats.

I actually thought the Democrats would gain seats in 1994, based on the polls, but the polls didn't take a lot of things into account then that they do now (such as Republicans cheating).

Can you give an example or two of the partisan polling issues?

It's not that I disagree with you that the polling could be wrong.  It's that it usually isn't.
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