Teton county Wyoming

[Alcon]

Blue Rectangle, you're missing the reason why places like Teton County flipped. It isn't the liberal elite - it's service industry employees. There are not nearly enough rich year-round residents to flip Teton County.

A look at the precinct results for Teton County tells you everything you need to - Kerry won 11 of the 16 precincts, while in 2000 Gore won only 1 of the 13 precincts (the precinct for the town of Wilson). Heck, Bush won the city of Jackson with over 55% of the vote in 2000. Kerry almost won it by that much this year.

It was a huge flip, and I can't totally explain why, but it wasn't because liberals have just suddenly moved in.

By the way, Colorado is going to be a weak lean Republican in 2008 in my eyes, Smash. The trends that happened between 2000 and 2004 are largely over. In a tie election, I say Republican by 0.5% or so.

Speaking of Colorado, a question for Blue Rectangle: one of the larger swings was in San Miguel County, Colorado (Telluride). Kerry won it with 72% of the vote this year, with Bush at 27%. In 2000, Gore won it with only 49% of the vote, with Bush at 32% and Nader at 17%. Even if every Nader voter voted Democrat this time around, that's still a rather impressive change. Any explanation?