Nevada GOP caucus **results thread**

[Alcon]

15% reporting

Romney 62%
Gingrich 16%
Paul 15%
Santorum 7%

[Alcon]

Friendly reminder: Fewer than 1-in-5 Nevada Republicans live outside of Clark and Washoe counties.

[Alcon]

Friendly reminder: Fewer than 1-in-5 Nevada Republicans live outside of Clark and Washoe counties.

But they accounted for just under 2/3 of the caucus vote in 2008 by my calculations.

Really, not some weird caucus weighting thing?  Bizarre

[Alcon]

The "very poor" are apparently not very enamored of Mittens.

Under 30k voters:
Paul 32%
Gingrich 31%
Romney 31%

"This is a classless country."

One, making under 30K does not necessarily classify you as "very poor." Two, most people under 30K are young people. When you control for the young people who support Paul, Romney wins under 30K voters by about 50-20-20 yet again.

How did you calculate that?

[Alcon]

Rough estimate using CNN's exit polling. Oh, and here you go:

Uh, rough estimate using what?  Was any math involved here or were you like, "Well these numbers could be right"?

[Alcon]

Storey county 53-52-48, Romney-Paul-Gingrich. That's close. Rick not far off with 35. Anyone know why Storey county is so small when it seems it's not that densely populated?

The county seat, Virginia City, was a mining boomtown.  I'd wager it was at least ten times larger sometime in the 1800s.

[Alcon]

I've been vaguely aware of Pahrump, Nevada for a while...but I haven't really looked at Pahrump, Nevada until today.  And on Google Maps.  Egads.

Worst reasonably populous in the United States?

[Alcon]

Pahrump is basically for people who think Las Vegas has too many regulations.  Make of that what you will.

Sounds like the sort of place for me.

Um...look at Pahrump.  Seriously, just look at it.

[Alcon]

Nate Silver says results + Clark County exit poll extrapolate to:

Romney 53%
Gingrich 20%
Paul 18%
Santorum 9%

[Alcon]

lol.

That made me laugh in public, and then I had to explain both the caucus part and the reference, and it was terrible.  Still worth it.

[Alcon]

Don't forget there are still five precincts left in Lander County. Though I stand by my previous statement that they've probably lost these results.

BREAKING NEWS:

According to Nevada Republican Party Chairman Daniel "Danny" Tarkanian, the results were last seen "sometime around dinner," when the "[Nevada Republican Party]'s roommate must have put it in the recyclables he took out or something."

[Alcon]

"Hello, Nevada Republican Party. How may I help you?"

"Hi, when are your results from Clark County going to be online?"

"We're still certifying the results."

"You're just making these up, aren't you?"

"No sir, we're certifying the results."

"What are the results from the Magical Jew Caucus?"

*click*

ahahah

[Alcon]

"@fivethirtyeight: Nevada GOP to release Clark County results just as soon as it figures out why Mike Tyson's tiger is in their bathroom."

[Alcon]

So they're actually hand counting every ballot, even though (presumably) each precinct already did their own count and phoned it in?  Didn't Iowa just rely on the phoned in counts from each precinct, and then didn't bother with doing a recount until certification, which took two weeks?  Why didn't they just do that here?  It's not like there was ever much danger of a switch in the winner of the caucus, like there was in Iowa.

The only feasible explanation I can see is that they tried that method, felt that people were screwing up results reporting, and spontaneously decided to centralize counting...it would also explain why they seem like they have like six vote counters for the entire damn county.

[Alcon]

Lander's five missing precincts just came in.

They probably just made some sh**t up.

They actually replaced the lost results with votes for People Magazine's "Top 100 Sitcoms of the Last 50 Years," which explains Rick Santorum's surprise loss there to The King of Queens.