Newest Fox News/Rasmussen Swing State Polls (user search)
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Author Topic: Newest Fox News/Rasmussen Swing State Polls  (Read 5903 times)
mypalfish
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« on: September 22, 2008, 05:13:46 PM »

Okay, Michigan is off the table.  Pull all resources out of there and shift to Colorado.
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mypalfish
Rookie
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Posts: 236


« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2008, 05:42:28 PM »

Okay, Michigan is off the table.  Pull all resources out of there and shift to Colorado.

the problem with doing that is, assuming McCain is actually writing off NM and IA, he's leaving himself with no margin for error in CO and VA unless he plays some offense in NH, PA, and MI.

NH is winnable, and even PA isn't out of the realm of possibility even with the horrible week McCain had.  But Michigan isn't even competitive now, and it's time to focus time and money where you have a legit shot to win.  I can't understand not being in Colorado more.

Heck, our internals for house races also show McCain doing about as well as Bush in certain districts.  Now Bush lost narrowly here in Wisconsin, but it will be closer than Michigan.

I even heard some nasty talk today that McCain is opening up shop in California, which is beyond nauseating, if true.
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mypalfish
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Posts: 236


« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2008, 08:44:13 PM »

I'm Probably giving PA and MI to Obama.  I think there is a Bradley effect, but not that great of one.

I'm so sick of hearing about the "Bradley effect" and the whining about racism costing Obama the election.  Why aren't the Dems just happy their guy is pretty comfortably ahead?  I was talking to a Milwaukee attorney today who is active in Democrat politics in the city and he is convinced...and I mean convinced...that it will be at least a 3 pt swing for McCain due to racism/bradley effect.   I told him he was nuts and to relax and enjoy his guy's victory.

I just don't understand this paranoia.
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mypalfish
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Posts: 236


« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2008, 10:19:37 PM »

On the forum, it's only Republicans (mainly, one Republican) that talk constantly about the Bradley Effect.  I don't see where the whining about racism is on the forum, frankly.

There's a good thread on it that just had barely slipped off the front page, I brought it back up.

I'm not talking about the forum, but all the attention that goofy poll got today that said racism could cost Obama up to 6 pts, which is just patently ridiculous.  Why make excuses for losing when it's cut and dried the guy is going to win?  I don't think he deserves to win...Obama has always been a very lucky politician...and it's better to be lucky than good.  The timing of the financial crisis couldn't have been better for Obama.  He had been on the defensive and now attention is taken off him and then McCain blunders with his "fundamentals of the economy" remark and the election is handed to him on a silver platter.  But I'm realistic enough to see how the polls/numbers are breaking.  It just drives me nuts to read articles about panicked Dems worried about losing...are they nuts?
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