Official Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Discussion Thread (user search)
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  Official Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Discussion Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Discussion Thread  (Read 63757 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #25 on: April 22, 2008, 08:16:51 PM »

Delco 5% reporting, Obama by 2.  My guess is PA-2.

There is no part of PA-2 in Delaware County.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #26 on: April 22, 2008, 08:19:46 PM »

Obama still above 70% in Dauphin with 8% in.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #27 on: April 22, 2008, 08:21:28 PM »

Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

Impossible to tell due to the gerrymandering.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #28 on: April 22, 2008, 08:25:22 PM »

Wow, Obama leads in Union with 7% in.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #29 on: April 22, 2008, 08:27:54 PM »

Obama's lead in Dauphin is actually increasing.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #30 on: April 22, 2008, 08:40:46 PM »

You can see PA-14 numbers here: http://www.county.allegheny.pa.us/elect/200804pri/pripres08.asp

Right now Hillary has a very slight lead with about half in.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #31 on: April 22, 2008, 08:44:07 PM »

Based on the results from the Dauphin County website, Obama should win there. He's got an almost 2:1 lead with a third of precincts in. It's going to tighten but Obama should take it.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #32 on: April 22, 2008, 08:48:56 PM »

I think the final result will stay the same as the current numbers, 54-46, but 55-45 isn't out of the question.

Agreed. I'm more concerned with the CD numbers now. PA-14 is a real nailbiter.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #33 on: April 22, 2008, 08:50:20 PM »

Obama's lead in Dauphin is actually increasing.

A lot of idiots there near the capital.

Racist comment.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #34 on: April 22, 2008, 08:55:19 PM »

Amish for Obama; he leads in Lancaster with 13% in Tongue

That's not really surprising. The few Democrats who live in Lancaster appear to be fairly liberal based on primary results.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #35 on: April 22, 2008, 08:57:27 PM »

Amish for Obama; he leads in Lancaster with 13% in Tongue

That's not really surprising. The few Democrats who live in Lancaster appear to be fairly liberal based on primary results.

I know. And obviously basically none of the voters (in the Democratic primary) are actually Amish.

Or voters in the Republican primary either for that matter.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #36 on: April 22, 2008, 08:58:59 PM »

Obama is now not only almost guaranteed a win in Dauphin, he might even get over 60%. He must've done relatively strong among whites there too.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #37 on: April 22, 2008, 09:02:51 PM »

I wish NewFederalist was still around. He's from Dauphin. Obama must be running strong with state employees.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #38 on: April 22, 2008, 09:05:36 PM »

I'm about to take a shower. I got a notice from the city that the water will be turned off from 9AM-4PM tomorrow for repairs so I have to do it tonight. Be back in a bit.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #39 on: April 22, 2008, 09:21:33 PM »


HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Wow... you guys are in victim mode hard core.

You know why Obama is ahead in Dauphin right? If you're saying it's because there's a lot of idiots and thus the two are connected...
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #40 on: April 22, 2008, 09:25:16 PM »

Remember when I was laughed at for predicting an Obama victory in Dauphin?
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #41 on: April 22, 2008, 09:33:25 PM »

I can't wait for Obama to thrash her in NC and finally end this.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #42 on: April 22, 2008, 09:36:13 PM »

With 94% in Obama now leads in PA-14 by over 3000. Looks like he might pull that one off after all.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #43 on: April 22, 2008, 09:36:46 PM »

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Hillary can't lose by over 15 points in NC and still manage to take in over 2/3 of the remaining superdelegates (which is what she needs.)
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #44 on: April 22, 2008, 09:41:30 PM »

Here's what's in in Delaware. I wish I know where these places are:

http://election.co.delaware.pa.us/eb/April_2008/summary.html
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #45 on: April 22, 2008, 09:42:43 PM »

Realistically, North Carolina isn't important. He'd have to win Indiana as well.

Hillary can't lose by over 15 points in NC and still manage to take in over 2/3 of the remaining superdelegates (which is what she needs.)
Hah, as if the delegate count matters at this point. The headline matters. Obama defeating Clinton in two moderate-to-large sized states, both with significant white populations, would end her campaign. If he loses Indiana, then we're gonna have to watch Clinton and Obama pretend to speak Spanish for a few weeks while they campaign in Puerto Rico.

Of course it matters. Hillary can't win without 2/3 of remaining superdelegates. She's going to have to do more than win Indiana to take that.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #46 on: April 22, 2008, 09:47:12 PM »

Yeadon has yet to report anything in Delaware. Neither has Swarthmore, which while supermajority white looks ridiculously favorable to Obama (looks like rich latte liberal central.)
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #47 on: April 22, 2008, 09:49:29 PM »

After a brief lookover of Delaware County municipalities, what's out looks very favorable to Obama.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #48 on: April 22, 2008, 09:50:14 PM »

Quit the spam guys. It's already annoying enough to post to this thread since you keep getting messages about posts that have been posted already, we don't need to make it even worse with meaningless crap.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #49 on: April 22, 2008, 09:52:04 PM »

CNN is slow, but Delaware is at 54% Obama with over 93% in.
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