Sam Spade's (FINAL, see p.10) Congressional and Senatorial prediction thread...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I didn't notice this before, but Cubin did vastly underperform Bush in 2004. She only got 55%.

She might be a bit too extreme, even for Wyoming. I do recall her comments on the House floor a few years ago when she said a bill that would ban selling firearms to anyone under drug treatment would mean no blacks could buy firearms. With the right wave, she very well could go down.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

MN-01: $100,000

Wouldn't do that in a non-competitive seat.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

2. Of course it's competitive, but I'll place it a little higher now.  Gutknecht's lack of a cash advantage probably explains it a little too.  I haven't seen the Dems pour any money into the CD yet at all.

It's possibly because it's tough to run a media-based campaign here. We get most of our TV stations from the Twin Cities. The western part of the district probably gets it from Sioux Falls. I'm not sure about Rochester, it might have its own media market, but if so it's the only serious one in the district. Both candidates have seemed to focus more on radio ads for this reason.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

After watching the NM-01 ads, I don't think I've seen this much mud-slinging before in a congressional race, and from both sides. Both Wilson and Madrid are running two of the most pointedly negative campaings I've ever seen.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

That's a good site, while difficult to navigate as said. Is there any way to specifically look up all money spent on both sides in a certain district or state?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Based on those gains, it'd be 50 R, 48 D, 2 I