Maybe I'm crazy but... (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2024, 10:59:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Maybe I'm crazy but... (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Maybe I'm crazy but...  (Read 2650 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,489
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: August 19, 2006, 01:33:06 PM »
« edited: August 19, 2006, 02:37:21 PM by Red »

OK, I'll admit these predictions are quite as longshots as the ones in Phil's thread, but many would probably dispute them. Anyway:

1-Klobuchar will win by a significantly larger margin than Kerry did

2-Casey will get over 52%

3-Cardin will get over 55%

4-Tester will win by a wider margin than Schweitzer did in 2004

5-Byrd will break 70%

6-Menendez will win by at least 4 points
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,489
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2006, 02:37:10 PM »

By significant I mean above what could simply be written off as statistical variation.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,489
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2006, 06:46:39 PM »

1) Casey will edge out Santorum for less then 2,000 votes.

He'll win by larger than that most likely.

2) Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine, and possibly Illinois will elect Republican Governors.

Michigan - likely, Wisconsin - slim chance, Maine - possibly but less likely, Illinois - not likely

3) Democrats take Missouri, and Tennesse Senate Races in upsets.

Missouri is a complete toss-up, wouldn't be so much of an upset. I'd love to see Tennesse but that's probalby not happening.

4) Hillary Clinton wins reelection.

Duh. I don't think anyone is predicting otherwise.

5) Bill Nelson wins with 57% of the vote against Katherine Harris.

That's probably the minimum he'll get.

6) One of the three states (Maryland, Washington, or New Jersey); A Republican defeats an incumbent Senator.

New Jersey is the only one of those with a realistic chance.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 10 queries.