Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (user search)
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  Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)  (Read 154265 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,680
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: February 05, 2020, 03:49:59 PM »
Quote from: Trends are real, and I f**king hate it on February 05, 2020, 03:44:50 PM
Quote from: n1240 on February 05, 2020, 03:36:32 PM
Black Hawk County Iowa supervisor, fed up with waiting, posted the full county results on Facebook

1. Sanders 2,149 votes 155 County Delegates
2. Buttigieg 1,578 votes 111 County Delegates.
3. Warren 1,244 votes, 87 County Delegates.
4. Biden 986 votes, 85 County Delegates.
5. Klobuchar 862 votes, 55 County Delegates.
6. Yang 33 Votes, 4 County Delegates
7. Steyer 27 votes, 4 Delegates.

Full SDE count in the county based on these numbers:

Sanders: 31.25
Buttigieg: 22.38
Warren: 17.54
Biden: 17.14
Klobuchar: 11.09
Yang: .81
Steyer: .81

Compared to NYTimes projection:

Sanders: 31.11
Buttigieg: 23.64
Warren: 18.38
Biden: 13.13

Holy crap, Biden overperforming by a full 4 SDEs. OK, at this rate he's definitely going to be above 15% statewide.
I wouldn't assume that. This is the home of Waterloo, the city in Iowa with the largest black population by percentage.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,680
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2020, 03:57:53 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on February 05, 2020, 03:52:59 PM
Quote from: When we run out of hydrogen we become supernovas on February 05, 2020, 03:49:59 PM
Quote from: Trends are real, and I f**king hate it on February 05, 2020, 03:44:50 PM
Quote from: n1240 on February 05, 2020, 03:36:32 PM
Black Hawk County Iowa supervisor, fed up with waiting, posted the full county results on Facebook

1. Sanders 2,149 votes 155 County Delegates
2. Buttigieg 1,578 votes 111 County Delegates.
3. Warren 1,244 votes, 87 County Delegates.
4. Biden 986 votes, 85 County Delegates.
5. Klobuchar 862 votes, 55 County Delegates.
6. Yang 33 Votes, 4 County Delegates
7. Steyer 27 votes, 4 Delegates.

Full SDE count in the county based on these numbers:

Sanders: 31.25
Buttigieg: 22.38
Warren: 17.54
Biden: 17.14
Klobuchar: 11.09
Yang: .81
Steyer: .81

Compared to NYTimes projection:

Sanders: 31.11
Buttigieg: 23.64
Warren: 18.38
Biden: 13.13

Holy crap, Biden overperforming by a full 4 SDEs. OK, at this rate he's definitely going to be above 15% statewide.
I wouldn't assume that. This is the home of Waterloo, the city in Iowa with the largest black population by percentage.
Yeah, I heard something about a black family of four moving to Waterloo from NYC.
Roll Eyes

Waterloo is over 15% black, higher than the national numbers and has a notable black population going back to the Great Migration and its development during its industrial days and blacks from coal mining towns resettling there after Iowa's coal industry died.
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