HYPO: Pataki vs. Cuomo 2014

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Then edge out a narrow victory. but Pataki probably gets 70-85% support in Upstate, wins the suburbs by 55-70%. But still lose because of NYC.

...WTF? Pataki didn't get 70-85% of the Upstate vote even in his victorious elections. And Upstate is definitely less than 85% white. Nor did he ever get anywhere near 70% in the suburbs.