Norwegian General Election 13 September 2021

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Which faction of the Labour Party is Jonas Gahr Støre considered to belong in? More to the left-labour wing or the more third way side? Or perhaps even a bridge candidate between the two factions?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Why did Sp's vote share plunge over the past few weeks? They've plunged from 18% to 13%; where are these voters going? Sp's decline doesn't match up with any other party making major gains; are they going to "undecided"?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Pardon me if this has been explained before, but can anyone explain to me why the Senterpartiet in Norway is a coalition partner with Labour and not with Hoyre? I thought they were like the Swedish Centre Party - a centre right more rural party with more of a natural affinity for the right.

Politicus mentioned in 2017 that Sp is unique in having its own ties to labor unions, and was/is considered the second "class" party in Norway.

They seem much more disposed to left-liberalism than Centre in Sweden or Finland.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Solberg concedes to Støre. Seems like the media are basically calling a Red-Green (Ap+Sp+SV) majority at this point? Current projections have them at 89 seats, how likely is that to more or less hold going forward?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Note that this is the same key as the earlier county/electoral district map, but extended. An Oslo specific key wouldn't have been that different, but would show a slight elevation in the SP vote in the east of the city (over 5%). Specific results for Sentrum (one polling district) do exist, specific results for the Oslo Marches (which are hacked between many different polling districts) do not.

Could someone who is familiar with Oslo give us a rundown of how these results line up with the class nature of the neighborhoods? Obviously right-wing generally corresponds with more affluent and vice-versa, but what neighborhoods are the rich neighborhoods, broader upper class, median neighborhoods, below-average, and very poor?

Do we know share of immigrants and concentration of blue vs. white collar vs. professional?

What kind of neighborhoods is Red performing best in? Is Ap a mix of working class but also more middle class? Does Hoyre get decent results in the more middle class areas as well? How about Frp, what kind of place are their strongest neighborhoods?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

snip

Could someone who is familiar with Oslo give us a rundown of how these results line up with the class nature of the neighborhoods? Obviously right-wing generally corresponds with more affluent and vice-versa, but what neighborhoods are the rich neighborhoods, broader upper class, median neighborhoods, below-average, and very poor?

Do we know share of immigrants and concentration of blue vs. white collar vs. professional?

What kind of neighborhoods is Red performing best in? Is Ap a mix of working class but also more middle class? Does Hoyre get decent results in the more middle class areas as well? How about Frp, what kind of place are their strongest neighborhoods?

Very simplistically, I believe that the main divide is between the richer West and the more working class East, which is broadly reflected in the elections results, with H being stronger in the former, and Ap in the latter. However, Ap aren’t necessarily performing their best the very poorest districts, where Rødt appear to have greater relative strength. There also seems to be a centre vs. periphery phenomenon at play here, where Ap do best in the lower-middle class suburbs while Rødt and SV are stronger closer to the city centre, where I imagine the presence of alternative quarters with younger populations might help them. This blogpost by a local Oslo SV politician contains a variety of useful demographic maps of the city’s districts.

So, they're basically just the new Socialist Left Party then? Typical post-communism urban left party with a mix of working class, immigrants, and young New Left types, but even more urban and more left-wing?