Knight: 36%
Uygur: 22%
Smith: 20%
Other D: 12%
Other R: 10%
Every time I think about this race, I get flashbacks to Eric Cantor and Joe Crowley losing their district. Yeah, there's no incumbent, but Christy Smith might as well be one, she's endorsed by the party establishment in California and avoided a debate with the other Democrats. Is it possible Uygur could squeak out a win (or rather, a top-two spot)? I know, most likely not. Christy Smith can just win off of name recognition being one of the district's assemblypersons, but huge upsets have happened before. He has a huge volunteer base and is going all over the place in the district. Regardless of whether or not you like him, I gotta admit it's pretty admirable the way he's running his campaign from what I've seen.
I'm talking about not taking any big money and running completely independent of the Democratic machine in California, pretty simple. I'm not surprised 'party activists' don't support him. Most of his support is going to come from independent lefties who aren't party loyalists. And don't even get me started on that last bit, isn't all that sh**t he said like 15+ years ago that he's completely renounced? I don't like him at all, but this political correctness cancer on the Democratic party is making it so anyone who ever said anything bad ever or changed their mind cannot possibly run for office. It's disgusting, it's the same crap that they bashed Bernie with when he endorsed him and it's awful that he caved to those twitter monsters.
Why would Christy Smith get less than 45% of the vote?
Because there's a lot of people running and it's essentially a jungle primary?
Knight isn't particularly popular in the district, I doubt he'll get 36% considering there's five other Republicans running, including Trump crony Papadopoulos.
Good point, I don't know how well certain Republicans will do either, I just assumed Knight will do somewhat well because he was the previous incumbent.
