An early look at the April contests... (D) (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential Election

An early look at the April contests... (D) (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Who will win in the following states?

#1 Wisconsin: Clinton		3 (4%)
#2 Wisconsin: Sanders		72 (96%)
#3 Wyoming: Clinton		4 (5.3%)
#4 Wyoming: Sanders		71 (94.7%)
#5 New York: Clinton		67 (89.3%)
#6 New York: Sanders		8 (10.7%)
#7 Connecticut: Clinton		49 (65.3%)
#8 Connecticut: Sanders		26 (34.7%)
#9 Delaware: Clinton		61 (81.3%)
#10 Delaware: Sanders		14 (18.7%)
#11 Maryland: Clinton		72 (96%)
#12 Maryland: Sanders		3 (4%)
#13 Pennsylvania: Clinton		47 (62.7%)
#14 Pennsylvania: Sanders		28 (37.3%)
#15 Rhode Island: Clinton		41 (54.7%)
#16 Rhode Island: Sanders		34 (45.3%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 75

Calculate results by number of options selected

Author

Topic: An early look at the April contests... (D) (Read 1307 times)

ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star

Posts: 21,102

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

	An early look at the April contests... (D) « on: March 13, 2016, 12:06:52 AM »
	« edited: March 19, 2016, 07:26:33 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Wyoming is a caucus, the others are all primaries. This month will be heavily focused on the northeast, finishing it besides New Jersey. I'm not going to do one for the Republicans yet do to the possibility of Rubio and/or Kasich dropping out before then. My first inclinations:

Wisconsin: Sanders
Wyoming: Sanders
New York: Clinton
Connecticut: Clinton
Delaware: Clinton
Maryland: Clinton
Pennsylvania: Clinton
Rhode Island: Clinton

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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star

Posts: 21,102

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

Re: An early look at the April contests... (D)

« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2016, 01:40:23 AM »

Quote from: dax00 on March 13, 2016, 01:23:34 AM

I reckon New York will be a lot closer than anyone entrenched in politics imagines. The polling fallacies noted in the earlier primaries conceivably will have a multiplied effect on the polls coming from New York, due to the large population of businessmen.

I suspect Sanders will win upstate only to get crushed in the city and Long Island.

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