The Delegate Fight: 2016

[ElectionsGuy]

So far, out of the 103 delegates:

Trump: 67 (65.0%)
Cruz: 11 (10.7%)
Rubio: 10 (9.7%)
Kasich: 5 (4.9%)
Carson: 3 (2.9%)
Uncommitted (dropped out candidates): 7 (6.8%)

[ElectionsGuy]

According to my count Rubio has 155. Nonetheless, the total delegate percentages so far stand at...

Trump: 42.8%
Cruz: 33.4%
Rubio: 17.1%
Kasich: 4.1%
Other: 2.5%

[ElectionsGuy]

Okay, but now Trump has 389 by my count

[ElectionsGuy]

Okay, but now Trump has 389 by my count

That's my mistake.  Fixed!

No problem. Thanks.

[ElectionsGuy]

March 26 Democratic Primaries

Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington qualify as a "regional cluster," and receive a 15% delegate bonus.

So, just for being in the "same region," these three states all get 15% more delegates than they would otherwise?

Pretty stupid, but it should help Bernie.

[ElectionsGuy]

According to my math, with 1307 pledged delegates, she needs another 1076 pledged delegates to get to 2383 delegates overall not including superdelegates, which is 65.3% of the remaining pledged delegates. This is what she needs for Sanders to concede before the convention. I believe he's said that he would take it to the convention if neither candidate had a majority of all delegates with just pledged delegates.

She would obviously win a contested convention when the super delegates will support her with North Korea margins, its just notable that Bernie Sanders will likely be a large force there.

[ElectionsGuy]

According to my math, with 1307 pledged delegates, she needs another 1076 pledged delegates to get to 2383 delegates overall not including superdelegates, which is 65.3% of the remaining pledged delegates. This is what she needs for Sanders to concede before the convention. I believe he's said that he would take it to the convention if neither candidate had a majority of all delegates with just pledged delegates.

She would obviously win a contested convention when the super delegates will support her with North Korea margins, its just notable that Bernie Sanders will likely be a large force there.

Depending on how the next two weeks (NY, PA, MD, etc) plus the last week (CA & NJ) go, she might get that number.

You think she get around 65% of the vote overall in those states?