Arizona: Only a matter of time, but how much time?

[ElectionsGuy]

Yes, this state has much more democratic ability than Texas, and much more than people think. The White vote was 66% for Romney and the state only went 54% for him. Its a pretty secular state, the state has only gone to the right simply because of the white vote, and it actually might stay that way. Democrats have to make indentations in white vote or what till the state becomes Hispanic enough to become less republican. However there are a series of factors that could happen between now and then. White voters and Hispanic voters could both become more republican, who knows?

[ElectionsGuy]

Your numbers show that it's becoming more Republican with an exception of 2012 right after their own senator was the Republican nominee. Had someone else ran in 2008, we would've seen a smaller trend to the right in 2008 and another small trend to the right in 2012. This question is of the most absurd on this forum. Sure if the Democrats win by enough they can come somewhat close, but Arizona just isn't battleground territory, but light red along with Louisiana, West Virginia, South Carolina, and Tennessee. A lot of Democrats have wishful liberal thinking to get in the heads of Republicans about it, but the truth is if anything it's trended to the right on average. I don't see it going blue anymore than Illinois going red.

I would would argue these are all very safe states, with the exception of South Carolina being a likely but inelastic state.