Which state will vote Democratic first in a presidential election?

[ElectionsGuy]

According to the 2012 election, Idaho would be the first state to vote democratic, then Wyoming, then Utah. But then again I don't know the flexibility of these states. The only support for the democratic party in Idaho is the city of Boise, and Blaine County. Even if Democrats can turn Ada County democratic, it will still be a while before the state goes democratic due to massive Mormon republican support in places like Twin Falls, Idaho Falls, and Rexburg.  Utah only has Summit County, Indian Reserves in Grand/San Juan Counties, and Salt Lake City which is slobbered on by it's Mormon Suburbs and Utah County. Wyoming has Teton County, which is a literally a liberal bastion when you look at the rest of Wyoming. They will have to turn not just Cheyenne, but Casper democratic which will not happen for decades.

Overall Idaho will most likely be the state to vote democratic first out of these three states, because of Boise's growth and because currently it is the least republican.

[ElectionsGuy]

According to the 2012 election, Idaho would be the first state to vote democratic, then Wyoming, then Utah. But then again I don't know the flexibility of these states. The only support for the democratic party in Idaho is the city of Boise, and Blaine County. Even if Democrats can turn Ada County democratic, it will still be a while before the state goes democratic due to massive Mormon republican support in places like Twin Falls, Idaho Falls, and Rexburg.  Utah only has Summit County, Indian Reserves in Grand/San Juan Counties, and Salt Lake City which is slobbered on by it's Mormon Suburbs and Utah County. Wyoming has Teton County, which is a literally a liberal bastion when you look at the rest of Wyoming. They will have to turn not just Cheyenne, but Casper democratic which will not happen for decades.

Overall Idaho will most likely be the state to vote democratic first out of these three states, because of Boise's growth and because currently it is the least republican.

According to the FiveThirtyEight elasticity metric...

ELASTICITY SCORES:

Idaho: 1.06
Wyoming: 1.03
Utah: 1.01

Interestingly, all 3 are more elastic than the national average. Though, Rhode Island has a score of 1.29, and I don't see it going Republican any time soon.

Thank you, so Idaho as a definite answer. Weird by the way that Rhode Island is very elastic, it barely changed from 2008 to 2012.