2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 635103 times)
emailking
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« Reply #175 on: November 23, 2020, 06:28:10 PM »
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emailking
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« Reply #176 on: November 24, 2020, 12:19:55 AM »
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emailking
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« Reply #177 on: November 24, 2020, 06:06:21 PM »
I hope Trump's not on the ballot next time. They'll probably make a bunch more adjustments to account for the polling error and be off 7.8% anyway.
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emailking
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« Reply #178 on: November 24, 2020, 09:21:38 PM »
Yeah I keep haring commentators on TV say it wasn't that close. It was razor thin and closer than 2016.
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emailking
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« Reply #179 on: November 24, 2020, 09:23:16 PM »


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emailking
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« Reply #180 on: November 25, 2020, 01:56:03 PM »

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emailking
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« Reply #181 on: November 25, 2020, 01:58:10 PM »
Quote from: Catalyst138 on November 25, 2020, 11:34:56 AM
Quote from: Pericles on November 24, 2020, 09:23:27 PM
Yeah Obama won the tipping point state by 5.4%, Biden has won it by just 0.6%. Sadly, in the American system that's what matters.

The fact that in both 2012 and 2008 the tipping point state was Colorado feels very weird looking back at it. Colorado didn’t really feel like a crucial battleground either time, more emphasis was placed on OH, FL, VA and PA.

I think the tipping point concept is of limited usefulness when the election isn't close, particularly in a landslide like 2008. In a world where McCain wins the election, it's such a big shift that it could be a different state entirely that puts him over the top.
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emailking
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« Reply #182 on: November 25, 2020, 07:46:31 PM »
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emailking
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« Reply #183 on: November 30, 2020, 06:48:22 PM »

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emailking
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« Reply #184 on: December 07, 2020, 01:53:52 PM »
Why do sites like CNN still say 99% reporting for all states even after certification?
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emailking
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« Reply #185 on: December 11, 2020, 06:13:05 PM »
Round 4.46% to 4.5%, and then round that to 5%. Biden won by 5%.
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emailking
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« Reply #186 on: December 11, 2020, 07:59:19 PM »
Quote from: Cosmopolitanism Will Win on December 11, 2020, 07:43:41 PM
Quote from: emailking on December 11, 2020, 06:13:05 PM
Round 4.46% to 4.5%, and then round that to 5%. Biden won by 5%.

That's. Not how rounding works.

Thanks.
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emailking
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« Reply #187 on: December 14, 2020, 01:11:11 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 14, 2020, 12:53:05 PM
Can the Archive please upload the 10 missing state certificates ?

What’s taking so long ?

It's government. You can get a delay that takes forever to resolve. Who knows what's going in. They had the counts of the faithless electors wrong for months in 2017.
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emailking
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« Reply #188 on: December 24, 2020, 07:19:30 PM »
Mail is slow as molasses here right now with the increase in online holiday shopping due to Covid, plus the increase in workers required to isolate because of Covid.
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emailking
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« Reply #189 on: December 29, 2020, 06:59:04 PM »
Yeah this was dumb. Now my last post is just hanging out in no man's land.
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emailking
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« Reply #190 on: December 29, 2020, 08:18:14 PM »
I think it's a little more than twice as long as the longest. A little less if you don't count the merge.
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emailking
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« Reply #191 on: December 29, 2020, 11:59:39 PM »
Everyone was ready for the red mirage, but it seems most everyone fell for it in the end anyway.
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emailking
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« Reply #192 on: January 03, 2021, 12:28:44 AM »
Yup red mirage. I tossed and turned all night. Mostly about Trump possibly winning. Although it will suck if R's control the Senate and Biden can't get his nominees through.
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emailking
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« Reply #193 on: January 03, 2021, 03:03:32 AM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith on January 03, 2021, 01:04:21 AM
Quote from: Roll Roons on January 03, 2021, 01:01:17 AM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on January 03, 2021, 01:00:06 AM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on January 02, 2021, 06:13:01 PM
Lol, I was going back and looking through e-night post when people thought the Presidency was a tossup and the Senate was a sure thing for Rs.

Now the Presidency is safe Biden and the Senate is a tossup.

This would've been a better outcome, specifically because 2022 would pretty much be the end for McConnell's tenure under another Trump midterm.

The only bright spot is if the Senate flips, and even that's not so good with those like Manchin and Sinema doing there thing.

It wouldn't have been. Four more years of Trump may well have completely ruined our democracy.

Two real years.

The final two would've been a complete lameduck. Hell, Dems might even have climbed up to 2009 levels in The House on the midterm rage alone.

Maybe...but you don't win by losing, or lose by winning.

If Trump won, Fauci and Wray would probably be gone. If Breyer dies or has to resign he might get the Supreme Court to 7-2.

Maybe the vaccine rollout would be completely bungled and take over a year or something. You can't get those lives back.

Also there could be a terrorist attack that sends Trump's popularity soaring. Then the midterms might not go so well for the Dems.

There's just too much unknown. You have to win every chance you get.
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