Can Obama win without Colorado?

[J. J.]

Obama also has to worry about NM, one of the closer states.  It has been "lean Obama," but that might change.

OH and VA are looking increasingly like a Mccain victory.

[J. J.]

No.  Obama needs to hold everything Gore held, and that is by no means secure.  Failure to grab the one Bush state in reach and he has no realistic chance of winning.

[J. J.]

No.  Obama needs to hold everything Gore held, and that is by no means secure.  Failure to grab the one Bush state in reach and he has no realistic chance of winning.

By using "the" are you implying there's only one Bush state Obama can win?

That seems a bit presumptuous.

The only other one is NH, which isn't enough.  I have two large Gore states that are in reach of McCain, and at least one smaller one.  My numbers are starting to get closer. 

[J. J.]

No.  Obama needs to hold everything Gore held, and that is by no means secure.  Failure to grab the one Bush state in reach and he has no realistic chance of winning.

By using "the" are you implying there's only one Bush state Obama can win?

That seems a bit presumptuous.

The only other one is NH, which isn't enough.  I have two large Gore states that are in reach of McCain, and at least one smaller one.  My numbers are starting to get closer. 

I disagree with the notion that Obama cannot win Ohio, Virginia, or Nevada. Or for that matter Florida, though it definitely won't be the "tipping point" state. Any of the above three could be, though they probably won't be.

At this point, I doubt that Obama can win, OH, VA, or NV.  FL looks like its gone as well.

[J. J.]

At this point, I doubt that Obama can win, OH, VA, or NV.  FL looks like its gone as well.

It looks like it is gone, yet Obama leads or is tied in 2 of the last 4 polls.

The post Palin ones I've seen, show McCain and continued trending in that direction.  Maybe I'll see something tomorrow that will change that, but not now.

Newsflash:  The political world changed in late August.