PUTTING YOUR OWN VIEWS ASIDE, WHO WILL REALLY WIN?

[J. J.]

I don't really know. Everyone (even Keystone Phil) seems to believe Casey has a lock but until we get campaigns up and running and see how things shake out with the media, debates, available resources (including money) and who wants it more... I just don't know.

I believed Casey was a lock for governor in 2002.  I believed that Klink was a lock in 2000.  I believed Singel was a lock for the Democratic nomination for Senate in 1994; same with Bailey in 1986.  I believed these at this stage of the game.

The key, IMO, is who else, if anyone else, will step into the Democratic Primary in 2006.   A name you might hear is William Kiesling.  Not a good candidate, but a "muckraker" in the worse sense of the word.

[J. J.]

Chuck Pennacchio is also running. Who is this Kiesling guy?

Ran for Governor in 1998 in the D primary.  A self publishing journalist with a penchant for conspiracy theories (but got 12% of the vote). 

The basic question is will a well funded, pro-choice, possibly female, candidate step forward and damage Casey in the D primary.  If pro-choice wing of the Democratic party stays home in the general, Casey is unelectable.