Romney last led an Ohio poll 14 polls ago

[J. J.]

And he's tied today in some of the polling. 

[J. J.]

I would take OH off the table just yet.  Interpoll numbers are trending toward Romney, though a tie.  I expect movement.  

This is the "frontal assault" of the war, as it were.  The Obama line has been forced back, but has not broken.  

[J. J.]

The polls, however, are tightening.  Even PPP, on 10/20, showed it down to a 1 point race (a drop of 4 for Obama).

And I checked, Romney was up in the summer in some polls.

[J. J.]

The polls, however, are tightening.  Even PPP, on 10/20, showed it down to a 1 point race (a drop of 4 for Obama).

And I checked, Romney was up in the summer in some polls.

And in other polls have Obama up 5, 4, 3 points.

If Romney couldn't gain ground to pass Obama after the first debate......then chances are he won't in the next two weeks.

I'm looking intra-poll.  It has closed in OH.  That early voting, more so nationally, is just not that good.  OH has problems using early voting with party registration, but that is still big difference from 2008. 

I would feel better if Romney were leading in OH and WI, but I just think it is not going to stay like this for another 12 days.