WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama down to only a five point lead? (user search)
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  WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama down to only a five point lead? (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama down to only a five point lead?  (Read 3001 times)
J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« on: October 17, 2012, 06:40:35 PM »

It could be an outlier, but I can believe Obama is losing the female vote. 
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 09:21:50 PM »

I expect that Republican will now put Washington on Romney's path to 270.

This does not fit with other recent polls at all, so it's reasonable to say that this is an outlier.

No, if he wins WA, well be talking about 370.  I tend to think this is is an outlier.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2012, 11:57:00 AM »

I expect that Republican will now put Washington on Romney's path to 270.

This does not fit with other recent polls at all, so it's reasonable to say that this is an outlier.

No, if he wins WA, well be talking   370.  I tend to think this is is an outlier.

Why did I click on "show post"?

Anyway, great analysis. But don't forget. It could be a realignment!!!!

Even on the realignment map, I have WA as basically a well, maybe.  I think this is an outlier. 
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2012, 01:19:42 PM »


On the realignment thread.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2012, 02:42:39 PM »


It has been around since January 31, 2008https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69332.0
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2012, 08:07:21 PM »


Until it happens.  Maybe you should start reading it. 
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2012, 08:13:27 PM »


Poor Al, still lost.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2012, 06:54:03 AM »

The tragic thing is that J.J. will claim a realignment happened no matter what, much like the supposed Bradley Effect in 2008.

Actually, no. 

When I began to write about it, there was a discussion of the possibility of a Democratic realignment.  There is still is.  The premise was that, by 2016, we will be in one of the elections of a realignment period.

There was even discussion that 2008 was a realignment. 
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