PPP -- Obama lead cut in half in Nevada.

[J. J.]

If that's the best Romney can do now, it's safe to say he's not carrying the state. If I was on his campaign I'd be shifting any resources in the west to Colorado.

Some focus groups showed Romney's numbers improving with Hispanic women after the debate.  It was a subset of Walmart Moms. 

[J. J.]

If that's the best Romney can do now, it's safe to say he's not carrying the state. If I was on his campaign I'd be shifting any resources in the west to Colorado.

Some focus groups showed Romney's numbers improving with Hispanic women after the debate.  It was a subset of Walmart Moms. 

Oh good, finally the focus numbers for Hispanic women with children who go to Wal-Mart are in.  I am sure we can draw very robust conclusions for that tiny sub-sample of a focus group (when focus groups are so useful to begin with.)

I think you just wanted to say "Wal-Mart moms."

No, but it was interesting that they noted it.  We don't really have good polling on the demographic (at last that I've looked at) and I'm worried that Obama's support there is being underpolled.

[J. J.]

If that's the best Romney can do now, it's safe to say he's not carrying the state. If I was on his campaign I'd be shifting any resources in the west to Colorado.

Some focus groups showed Romney's numbers improving with Hispanic women after the debate.  It was a subset of Walmart Moms. 

Oh good, finally the focus numbers for Hispanic women with children who go to Wal-Mart are in.  I am sure we can draw very robust conclusions for that tiny sub-sample of a focus group (when focus groups are so useful to begin with.)

I think you just wanted to say "Wal-Mart moms."

No, but it was interesting that they noted it.  We don't really have good polling on the demographic (at last that I've looked at) and I'm worried that Obama's support there is being underpolled.

We don't have solid polling in that demographic in great part because it's a relatively small subsample...but your alternative is a focus group?  How big of a "female Hispanic parents who shop at Wal-Mart" sample did this focus group involve?

I was thinking more along the line of Hispanic women.  Or even post debate Hispanic voters.

[J. J.]

We know there's chronic under-polling of democrats in NV.... which I generally don't understand...

Hispanics with cell phones who don't speak English.

That... makes sense...

Older Hispanics?  2nd 3rd generation probably speak English.

[J. J.]

That is still down.  When does registration end?