Maybe I'm crazy but... (user search)
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  Maybe I'm crazy but... (search mode)
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Author Topic: Maybe I'm crazy but...  (Read 2641 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« on: August 19, 2006, 02:12:28 PM »

OK, I'll admit these predictions are quite as longshots as the ones in Phil's thread, but many would probably dispute them. Anyway:

1-Klobuchar will win by a significantly larger margin than Kerry did

What is a "significantly larger margin"?  Could she win by 6-8 points?  Yes.  Will she win by 10+ points?  Highly unlikely, to where I would say no.

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Quite possible, it is worth wagering for, though Casey has been polling weaker of late, making the possibility lower.

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One would think if the Democrats unite after the primary, it is quite possible.  Cardin is still not polling very strong, though, imo.

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Schweitzer won in 2000?  This is news to me and my executives at Diebold.

In 2004, Schweitzer got 50%.  Could Tester get more than Schweitzer did? Probably, but if he got much less, he'd probably lose.

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Byrd has been polling in the mid-to upper 50%.  That is not the requisite number for a incumbent candidate to break 70%, BRTD, unless you think the polls are wrong.

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This could happen.  Most definitely.

Except for #5, none of your predictions are really very out-of-the-potential mainstream.  I think that opebo has infected your thinking with a white-bread menatliry.
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