Breaking news from CA-24

[Sam Spade]

Looks to me like there's no other Republican running for the CD and there are two Democrats running in the contest.  Is the filing deadline over with?

Otherwise, we could be seeing an OH-06 in reverse. 

[Sam Spade]

Bush won this district with 56% so it favors Reublicans, but today was the filing deadline and no one else filed.  Now if this was NJ the courts would allow a replacment, but what is the CA law?  Could this need a write-in campaign in the primary?

Thanks for the answer. 

All I have to say is lol. 

[Sam Spade]

From my reading of a well-known conservative site, it appears like an unknown lawyer, Michael Tenenbaum, filed for the seat today in the GOP primary.  This hasn't appeared on the California SOS site yet and whether this is accurate or not, I dunno.

Given this, it looks like to me that we could be facing three non-entities (the two Democrats are "out there" candidates frankly) running for election to the seat (you don't see that too often).

That leads me to think there may be a write-in candidacy on both sides with preferred candidates.  Rather amusing in all.

[Sam Spade]

Michael Tenenbaum may have just become the luckiest bastard in the United States.

Maybe.

This is a fairly well-educated and affluent CD, iirc (if I'm wrong, please tell me).

As opposed to the present situation in OH-06 (which is a fairly rural and working class CD), one would think a write-in candidacy wouldn't be quite that hard to mount if a named Republican or Democrat was interested. 

Histircially, write-in candidacies have had much more success in this types of districts than anywhere else.

As I remember, Tom McClintock is from this CD, though I doubt he would give up running for Lt. Governor for this.

Who are the other major names from the area (Democrat or Republican) who might be interested in the seat?  I yield to the California posters on this.

[Sam Spade]

From my reading of a well-known conservative site, it appears like an unknown lawyer, Michael Tenenbaum, filed for the seat today in the GOP primary.  This hasn't appeared on the California SOS site yet and whether this is accurate or not, I dunno.

Given this, it looks like to me that we could be facing three non-entities (the two Democrats are "out there" candidates frankly) running for election to the seat (you don't see that too often).

That leads me to think there may be a write-in candidacy on both sides with preferred candidates.  Rather amusing in all.

According to the local paper (reg. req'd) it does appear to be the case that Tenenbaum has filed already - having wanted to file to run against Galgegly.  I don't have enough info about the various candidates (yet) to make any serious judgement calls about their politics though.

The two Democrats are, according to CQ's reporting:

http://www.cqpolitics.com/2006/03/ca_24_gallegly_will_not_seek_r.html

According to the California secretary of state Web site, two Democrats have filed for the seat: Jill Martinez, a Presbyterian minister and affordable housing activist, and Mary Pallant, who said in a posting on the Daily Kos blog site that she is a former Republican who switched parties because she “saw the principles of American democracy systematically dismantled by the emergence of the neoconservative movement.”

Both sound like non-entities to me.

Michael Tenenbaum is a Harvard-educated lawyer and an associate at Sullivan and Cromwell.  Otherwise, we know nothing on him either.

Color me confused.

[Sam Spade]

Wow, it's really easy to do a write-in candidacy. For non-statewide offices in California it's 40 signatures from that district. For statewide offices it's only 65 signatures. Due by May 23rd.

Heh.  You should run for office, fern. 

[Sam Spade]

lol.  I actually read about this, but hadn't posted on it.  Talk about screwing up royally.

But, if he really "really" is running again, the seat is safe.  Still extremely funny though.