Post-Debate Reaction (user search)
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Poll
Question: Who gains who loses?
#1
Romney (Up)
 
#2
Romney (Same)
 
#3
Romney (Down)
 
#4
Gingrich (Up)
 
#5
Gingrich (Same)
 
#6
Gingrich (Down)
 
#7
Perry (Up)
 
#8
Perry (Same)
 
#9
Perry (Down)
 
#10
Paul (Up)
 
#11
Paul (Same)
 
#12
Paul (Down)
 
#13
Cain (Up)
 
#14
Cain (Same)
 
#15
Cain (Down)
 
#16
Bachmann (Up)
 
#17
Bachmann (Same)
 
#18
Bachmann (Down)
 
#19
Santorum (Up)
 
#20
Santorum (Same)
 
#21
Santorum (Down)
 
#22
Huntsman (Up)
 
#23
Huntsman (Same)
 
#24
Huntsman (Down)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 62

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Post-Debate Reaction  (Read 5218 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


« on: November 09, 2011, 10:27:17 PM »

I have to agree that Newt is going to get some play again.  I don't think he has it either, of course, but don't be surprised to see him start to seriously move up in the polls to a competitive position.  Especially when the Cain boomlet fades.

Just as an FYI - if I thought that any of the candidates in the Republican primary could be taken seriously by the Republican base as a Presidential candidate after the usual scrutiny, Romney would be dead meat.  Otherwise, in the end, he'll be turned to out of desperation.  Which should say something, both short-term and long-term about things.

I think the last serious post on this forum I made was this one.  It was probably the last post worth reading on this forum, as well, except for maybe jmfcst, as he is the only one around who understands how Republican primaries operate.  It still applies, and quite frankly, with Perry and Bachmann both destroyed and Cain perhaps mortally wounded (and not coming across as a deep thinker), it is obvious who will benefit.

P.S. I did think about responding to Torie's comment that if Herman Cain imploded, Mitt Romney would move up in the polls, but there was no real point in responding to such inanity.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2011, 11:15:05 PM »

I have to agree that Newt is going to get some play again.  I don't think he has it either, of course, but don't be surprised to see him start to seriously move up in the polls to a competitive position.  Especially when the Cain boomlet fades.

Just as an FYI - if I thought that any of the candidates in the Republican primary could be taken seriously by the Republican base as a Presidential candidate after the usual scrutiny, Romney would be dead meat.  Otherwise, in the end, he'll be turned to out of desperation.  Which should say something, both short-term and long-term about things.

I think the last serious post on this forum I made was this one.  It was probably the last post worth reading on this forum, as well, except for maybe jmfcst, as he is the only one around who understands how Republican primaries operate.  It still applies, and quite frankly, with Perry and Bachmann both destroyed and Cain perhaps mortally wounded (and not coming across as a deep thinker), it is obvious who will benefit.

P.S. I did think about responding to Torie's comment that if Herman Cain imploded, Mitt Romney would move up in the polls, but there was no real point in responding to such inanity.

That post was just about actual poll numbers from two states smartass. But yes, not everyone in the other camps thinks stop Mittens is job one actually. So when one of them drops ...

It was before both of those polls, and btw, just because polls say that someone is one's "second choice", it does not mean that those voters will automatically go to said choice.  They may well stay with the candidate, or go back to undecided, or change their second choice.  You should know that.  It's like polling 101, or something.

The fact is that those vast majority of those voters who have been moving from Bachmann, to Perry, and then to Cain, and then wherever...  Those are voters who will never go to Romney, ever.  Quite frankly, it's like 20% of the Republican primary electorate.  The reason why I've predicted Romney will win the nomination is listed above.  And we ain't at that point yet.  And still those voters won't vote for him, as noted - it's the vast majority of those undecideds out there that I'm banking on.  But it probably won't happen until after NH or SC, so be forewarned.

And I'll say it right now, I can't disagree with that section of the Republican party in some respects.  It is highly unlikely that I would ever vote for a Mormon, because frankly, they don't have souls, and cannot be trusted on anything.  It's not because the election of Mitt Romney would permanently destroy the Republican party given what's gonna happen - I could care less about that.
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