Rate the coming storm - Cat 1 to Cat 5 (user search)
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  Rate the coming storm - Cat 1 to Cat 5 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How bad will it be for the Dems on Tuesday?
#1
Category 5 Storm 80+ net loss in House
 
#2
Category 4 Storm 60-80 net loss in House
 
#3
Category 3 Storm 39-60 net loss in House
 
#4
Category 2 Storm 20-38 net loss in House
 
#5
Category 1 - 20 or fewer net loss in House.
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: Rate the coming storm - Cat 1 to Cat 5  (Read 2317 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
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Posts: 27,547


« on: October 31, 2010, 03:18:13 PM »

I'm with the consensus -- Tonight I'm feeling about R+58 on my over/under.  However, if this ended up around R+70, I wouldn't be surprised.

I wish I had the balls to make off-the-wall predictions Sad

To do that one would have to spend a lot of time at it, to figure out which seats not that closely watched or polled, are in real play to flip based on money, ad quality, candidate quality, along with all the more generic polls, and other races, etc. Other than that, you are just a Charlie Cook etc, drone, or just take a shot from the hip. That was what I did when I came up with 50-60 a couple of months back - I just shot from the hip. To now try to jerk it up another 10 seats is just too arduous for this old man, and after I did all that work (to generate something I could really defend), I might not come up with anymore seats anyway, and what fun would that be? 

It will be more fun to critique Sam and Vorlon, assuming they explain their calls of interest. Smiley

I explain every call, you know... Smiley
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